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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.45+6.55vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.38+5.80vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.71+3.52vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.45+3.22vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin1.94+7.72vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.65+0.59vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.92+2.38vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.50-0.85vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.78-2.94vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University3.54-2.73vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California2.57-0.20vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College2.90-2.22vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan1.32+1.57vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University2.81-4.39vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80-8.93vs Predicted
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16Texas A&M University at Galveston2.20-3.85vs Predicted
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17University of Washington1.69-3.18vs Predicted
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18University of Texas0.71-2.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.55Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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7.8Harvard University3.380.1%1st Place
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6.52Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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7.22Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.450.1%1st Place
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12.72University of Wisconsin1.940.0%1st Place
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6.59Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
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9.38Stanford University2.920.0%1st Place
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7.15Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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6.06College of Charleston3.780.1%1st Place
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7.27Old Dominion University3.540.1%1st Place
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10.8University of Southern California2.570.0%1st Place
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9.78Eckerd College2.900.0%1st Place
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14.57University of Michigan1.320.0%1st Place
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9.61Georgetown University2.810.0%1st Place
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6.07St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
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12.15Texas A&M University at Galveston2.200.0%1st Place
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13.82University of Washington1.690.0%1st Place
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15.94University of Texas0.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Powers | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kelly Crane | 7.9% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Mary Cummins | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 13.0% | 14.7% | 12.6% | 8.4% |
| Margaret Tautz | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Burroughs | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Emily Maxwell | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Shannon Heausler | 9.9% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Katrina Williams | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Rupp | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 2.5% |
| Emilie Mademann | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
| Rachel Barch | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 14.9% | 22.9% | 21.9% |
| Lauren Burke | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Megan Magill | 11.0% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Stamets | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 9.3% | 5.0% |
| Alyce Flanagan | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 16.7% | 18.8% | 13.0% |
| Hazel Mahony | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 20.0% | 46.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.