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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.01+5.02vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.22+3.20vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College1.18+2.03vs Predicted
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4Bates College0.72+2.73vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont0.87+0.41vs Predicted
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6Fairfield University0.42+1.15vs Predicted
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7Tufts University0.80-0.63vs Predicted
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8Boston University0.25+1.26vs Predicted
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9University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.02-0.60vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University-0.79+1.11vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.51-0.75vs Predicted
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12Tufts University0.80-5.42vs Predicted
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13Harvard University0.45-5.82vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire-0.38-3.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.02Brown University1.0110.3%1st Place
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5.2Northeastern University1.2212.6%1st Place
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5.03Bowdoin College1.1813.9%1st Place
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6.73Bates College0.727.2%1st Place
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5.41University of Vermont0.8711.8%1st Place
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7.15Fairfield University0.426.9%1st Place
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6.37Tufts University0.808.4%1st Place
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9.26Boston University0.253.6%1st Place
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8.4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.024.3%1st Place
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11.11Salve Regina University-0.791.2%1st Place
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10.25Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.511.9%1st Place
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6.58Tufts University0.808.5%1st Place
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7.18Harvard University0.456.9%1st Place
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10.3University of New Hampshire-0.382.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sidney Moyer | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Eva Ermlich | 12.6% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Ethan Danielson | 13.9% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Jett Lindelof | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Christian Cushman | 11.8% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Nolan Cooper | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 2.1% |
| Grant Schmidt | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Richard Kalich | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 13.7% | 13.8% | 11.1% |
| William Delong | 4.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 6.6% |
| Sean Morrison | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 12.0% | 18.1% | 31.3% |
| Evan Tofolo | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 17.1% | 20.4% |
| Blake Vogel | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Theresa Straw | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 1.9% |
| Sean Lund | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 16.8% | 22.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.