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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.04+4.90vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.72+5.10vs Predicted
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3Harvard University1.79+3.40vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College1.87+2.35vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68+1.62vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.07+0.62vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.71-3.23vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97+1.37vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston0.76+1.06vs Predicted
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10George Washington University0.96-0.83vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University1.29-3.29vs Predicted
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12Tufts University0.83-2.41vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.14-4.07vs Predicted
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14Northwestern University0.77-3.83vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island-0.02-2.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.9Brown University2.0410.4%1st Place
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7.1University of Pennsylvania1.726.9%1st Place
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6.4Harvard University1.799.8%1st Place
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6.35Dartmouth College1.878.6%1st Place
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6.62Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.688.0%1st Place
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6.62Bowdoin College2.077.4%1st Place
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3.77Yale University2.7120.8%1st Place
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9.37Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.972.9%1st Place
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10.06College of Charleston0.762.9%1st Place
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9.17George Washington University0.963.7%1st Place
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7.71Georgetown University1.296.1%1st Place
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9.59Tufts University0.833.5%1st Place
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8.93Boston University1.144.2%1st Place
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10.17Northwestern University0.773.1%1st Place
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12.24University of Rhode Island-0.021.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brielle Willoughby | 10.4% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Torrey Chisari | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Marbella Marlo | 9.8% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Gray Hemans | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 20.8% | 18.4% | 14.8% | 13.1% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Heather Kerns | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 7.2% |
| Fredrikke Foss | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 13.4% |
| Islay Van Dusen | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 6.9% |
| Morgan Sailer | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 2.4% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 9.2% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 4.9% |
| Lillian Nemeth | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 14.8% | 11.3% |
| Mackenzie Fraser | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 15.5% | 40.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.