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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.71+2.76vs Predicted
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2Tufts University0.83+7.51vs Predicted
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3Harvard University1.79+3.29vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.14+4.66vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University1.29+2.56vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College1.87+0.05vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.04-1.43vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University0.77+2.03vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston0.76+1.00vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College0.78-1.69vs Predicted
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11George Washington University0.96-1.91vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68-5.27vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania1.72-6.05vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island-0.02-1.72vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97-5.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.76Yale University2.7121.4%1st Place
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9.51Tufts University0.833.1%1st Place
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6.29Harvard University1.799.8%1st Place
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8.66Boston University1.144.0%1st Place
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7.56Georgetown University1.297.2%1st Place
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6.05Dartmouth College1.879.4%1st Place
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5.57Brown University2.0413.2%1st Place
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10.03Northwestern University0.773.1%1st Place
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10.0College of Charleston0.762.4%1st Place
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8.31Bowdoin College0.785.1%1st Place
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9.09George Washington University0.963.1%1st Place
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6.73Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.686.7%1st Place
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6.95University of Pennsylvania1.726.6%1st Place
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12.28University of Rhode Island-0.021.5%1st Place
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9.21Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.973.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mia Nicolosi | 21.4% | 18.5% | 15.8% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 7.4% |
| Marbella Marlo | 9.8% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 5.3% |
| Morgan Sailer | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.0% |
| Gray Hemans | 9.4% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 13.2% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Lillian Nemeth | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 13.5% | 12.2% |
| Fredrikke Foss | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 14.4% | 11.1% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 3.2% |
| Islay Van Dusen | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 7.0% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 6.7% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Torrey Chisari | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Mackenzie Fraser | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 15.7% | 41.5% |
| Heather Kerns | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 6.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.