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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.04+4.68vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College1.87+4.27vs Predicted
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3Tufts University0.83+6.50vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston0.76+6.09vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.72+2.05vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University1.29+1.55vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University0.77+2.94vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.71-4.27vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.14-0.29vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97-0.75vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College0.78-2.61vs Predicted
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12George Washington University0.96-3.08vs Predicted
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13Harvard University1.79-6.60vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island-0.02-1.90vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68-8.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.68Brown University2.0410.9%1st Place
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6.27Dartmouth College1.878.0%1st Place
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9.5Tufts University0.832.8%1st Place
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10.09College of Charleston0.762.6%1st Place
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7.05University of Pennsylvania1.728.1%1st Place
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7.55Georgetown University1.295.2%1st Place
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9.94Northwestern University0.773.5%1st Place
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3.73Yale University2.7123.0%1st Place
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8.71Boston University1.144.4%1st Place
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9.25Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.973.8%1st Place
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8.39Bowdoin College0.785.3%1st Place
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8.92George Washington University0.963.1%1st Place
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6.4Harvard University1.799.8%1st Place
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12.1University of Rhode Island-0.021.6%1st Place
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6.44Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.688.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brielle Willoughby | 10.9% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Gray Hemans | 8.0% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 8.3% |
| Fredrikke Foss | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 14.3% | 12.8% |
| Torrey Chisari | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Morgan Sailer | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.3% |
| Lillian Nemeth | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 11.7% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 23.0% | 18.8% | 14.8% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 5.6% |
| Heather Kerns | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 7.6% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 4.8% |
| Islay Van Dusen | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 5.3% |
| Marbella Marlo | 9.8% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Mackenzie Fraser | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 13.6% | 39.0% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.