← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Wisconsin0.36+2.31vs Predicted
-
2University of Wisconsin0.94+0.75vs Predicted
-
3University of Wisconsin1.32-0.81vs Predicted
-
4University of Michigan0.85-1.24vs Predicted
-
5University of Illinois-1.28+0.18vs Predicted
-
6Northwestern University-0.90-1.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.31University of Wisconsin0.3613.2%1st Place
-
2.75University of Wisconsin0.9422.7%1st Place
-
2.19University of Wisconsin1.3236.3%1st Place
-
2.76University of Michigan0.8521.9%1st Place
-
5.18University of Illinois-1.282.0%1st Place
-
4.81Northwestern University-0.904.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marissa Tegeder | 13.2% | 18.3% | 19.1% | 27.7% | 17.1% | 4.8% |
| Hailey Feinzig | 22.7% | 22.4% | 25.1% | 19.2% | 8.7% | 1.8% |
| Katherine Higgins | 36.3% | 27.7% | 21.2% | 10.7% | 3.8% | 0.3% |
| Emily Pytell | 21.9% | 23.5% | 23.7% | 20.3% | 8.7% | 1.8% |
| Bahda Hoang | 2.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 10.1% | 25.4% | 54.9% |
| Jenna Spray | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 12.0% | 36.4% | 36.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.