← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Wisconsin0.36+2.36vs Predicted
-
2University of Wisconsin0.94+0.77vs Predicted
-
3University of Michigan0.85-0.30vs Predicted
-
4University of Wisconsin1.32-1.79vs Predicted
-
5University of Illinois-1.28+0.16vs Predicted
-
6Northwestern University-0.90-1.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.36University of Wisconsin0.3614.2%1st Place
-
2.77University of Wisconsin0.9420.2%1st Place
-
2.7University of Michigan0.8523.5%1st Place
-
2.21University of Wisconsin1.3235.5%1st Place
-
5.16University of Illinois-1.282.6%1st Place
-
4.8Northwestern University-0.904.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marissa Tegeder | 14.2% | 14.6% | 20.3% | 27.6% | 18.7% | 4.5% |
| Hailey Feinzig | 20.2% | 24.8% | 24.6% | 20.1% | 8.7% | 1.6% |
| Emily Pytell | 23.5% | 24.6% | 22.4% | 19.0% | 8.9% | 1.5% |
| Katherine Higgins | 35.5% | 28.1% | 20.5% | 11.8% | 3.7% | 0.4% |
| Bahda Hoang | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 9.2% | 25.1% | 55.2% |
| Jenna Spray | 4.0% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 12.4% | 34.9% | 36.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.