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📊 Prediction Accuracy
5.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.38+6.87vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University3.54+5.19vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.65+3.75vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.50+3.06vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.45+2.30vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College2.90+3.43vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin1.94+5.86vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80-2.01vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.45-1.74vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.78-3.64vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College3.71-4.47vs Predicted
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12Stanford University2.92-2.34vs Predicted
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13University of Texas0.71+2.94vs Predicted
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14Texas A&M University at Galveston2.20-2.21vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University2.81-5.25vs Predicted
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16University of Washington1.69-2.22vs Predicted
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17University of Southern California2.57-6.14vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan1.32-3.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.87Harvard University3.380.1%1st Place
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7.19Old Dominion University3.540.1%1st Place
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6.75Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
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7.06Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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7.3Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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9.43Eckerd College2.900.0%1st Place
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12.86University of Wisconsin1.940.0%1st Place
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5.99St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
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7.26Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.450.1%1st Place
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6.36College of Charleston3.780.1%1st Place
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6.53Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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9.66Stanford University2.920.0%1st Place
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15.94University of Texas0.710.0%1st Place
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11.79Texas A&M University at Galveston2.200.0%1st Place
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9.75Georgetown University2.810.0%1st Place
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13.78University of Washington1.690.0%1st Place
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10.86University of Southern California2.570.0%1st Place
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14.62University of Michigan1.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Powers | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Katrina Williams | 6.7% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Margaret Tautz | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Emily Maxwell | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 7.2% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Emilie Mademann | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 0.3% |
| Mary Cummins | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 12.8% | 15.1% | 13.5% | 7.7% |
| Megan Magill | 11.1% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kelly Crane | 6.4% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Shannon Heausler | 11.2% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 10.3% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Burroughs | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Hazel Mahony | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 17.5% | 49.1% |
| Laura Stamets | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 9.3% | 4.7% |
| Lauren Burke | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Alyce Flanagan | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 15.1% | 19.1% | 12.3% |
| Kelsey Rupp | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 5.2% | 2.1% |
| Rachel Barch | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 13.6% | 23.3% | 21.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.