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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.36+2.29vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.94+0.78vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.32-0.81vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan0.85-1.23vs Predicted
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5University of Illinois-1.28+0.17vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University-0.90-1.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.29University of Wisconsin0.3613.8%1st Place
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2.78University of Wisconsin0.9421.2%1st Place
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2.19University of Wisconsin1.3236.9%1st Place
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2.77University of Michigan0.8521.6%1st Place
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5.17University of Illinois-1.282.6%1st Place
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4.8Northwestern University-0.903.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marissa Tegeder | 13.8% | 18.0% | 19.1% | 28.6% | 15.7% | 4.9% |
| Hailey Feinzig | 21.2% | 23.7% | 23.9% | 20.1% | 9.3% | 1.8% |
| Katherine Higgins | 36.9% | 27.2% | 20.3% | 11.8% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
| Emily Pytell | 21.6% | 23.1% | 24.6% | 20.0% | 9.0% | 1.7% |
| Bahda Hoang | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 8.1% | 27.1% | 54.5% |
| Jenna Spray | 3.8% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 11.5% | 35.6% | 36.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.