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📊 Prediction Accuracy
68.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.83+5.91vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute1.73+1.79vs Predicted
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3Princeton University1.87+1.76vs Predicted
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4Washington College1.66+0.25vs Predicted
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5Rochester Institute of Technology1.06+0.67vs Predicted
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6Villanova University0.66+0.62vs Predicted
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7University of Pittsburgh0.07+1.56vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook-0.52+4.01vs Predicted
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9William and Mary0.12-0.66vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University0.05-0.65vs Predicted
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11Virginia Tech0.72-5.06vs Predicted
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12Catholic University of America-0.40-1.59vs Predicted
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13Unknown School-1.21-0.84vs Predicted
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14University of Delaware-1.82-0.09vs Predicted
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15Drexel University-0.89-3.67vs Predicted
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16University of Rochester-1.09-4.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.91Christopher Newport University0.836.4%1st Place
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3.79Webb Institute1.7320.0%1st Place
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4.76Princeton University1.8713.1%1st Place
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4.25Washington College1.6617.4%1st Place
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5.67Rochester Institute of Technology1.069.8%1st Place
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6.62Villanova University0.665.8%1st Place
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8.56University of Pittsburgh0.074.1%1st Place
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12.01SUNY Stony Brook-0.521.2%1st Place
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8.34William and Mary0.124.8%1st Place
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9.35Syracuse University0.052.1%1st Place
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5.94Virginia Tech0.728.8%1st Place
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10.41Catholic University of America-0.401.8%1st Place
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12.16Unknown School-1.211.6%1st Place
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13.91University of Delaware-1.820.6%1st Place
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11.33Drexel University-0.891.6%1st Place
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12.0University of Rochester-1.091.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Hodges | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Rayne Duff | 20.0% | 18.0% | 15.7% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Mraz | 13.1% | 13.5% | 13.9% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 17.4% | 15.3% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Turner | 9.8% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Owen Ward | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Stanley Galloway | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Jonathan Gorman | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 14.1% | 16.1% | 14.2% |
| Constantyn van der Voort | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Chris Trentham | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 1.2% |
| Christopher Magno | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Clare Wagner | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 4.0% |
| Clare Leeper | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 13.9% | 18.4% | 14.2% |
| Tamryn Whyte | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 17.5% | 42.6% |
| Paula Cabot Jaume | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 14.0% | 8.1% |
| Eric Elias | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 16.2% | 15.6% | 13.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.