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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Villanova University0.66+5.59vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.83+4.87vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech0.72+2.78vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.52+8.03vs Predicted
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5Washington College1.66-0.74vs Predicted
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6University of Pittsburgh0.07+2.61vs Predicted
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7Webb Institute1.73-3.18vs Predicted
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8Princeton University1.87-3.22vs Predicted
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9Syracuse University0.05+0.25vs Predicted
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10Rochester Institute of Technology1.06-4.33vs Predicted
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11Drexel University-0.89+0.39vs Predicted
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12William and Mary0.12-3.59vs Predicted
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13Catholic University of America-0.40-2.54vs Predicted
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14University of Delaware-1.82-0.23vs Predicted
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15University of Rochester-1.09-2.88vs Predicted
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16Unknown School-1.21-3.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.59Villanova University0.666.5%1st Place
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6.87Christopher Newport University0.836.6%1st Place
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5.78Virginia Tech0.729.6%1st Place
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12.03SUNY Stony Brook-0.521.5%1st Place
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4.26Washington College1.6616.2%1st Place
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8.61University of Pittsburgh0.073.5%1st Place
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3.82Webb Institute1.7320.2%1st Place
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4.78Princeton University1.8712.8%1st Place
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9.25Syracuse University0.053.2%1st Place
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5.67Rochester Institute of Technology1.069.4%1st Place
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11.39Drexel University-0.891.7%1st Place
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8.41William and Mary0.124.2%1st Place
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10.46Catholic University of America-0.401.9%1st Place
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13.77University of Delaware-1.820.7%1st Place
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12.12University of Rochester-1.091.1%1st Place
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12.19Unknown School-1.211.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Ward | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Daniel Hodges | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Magno | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Gorman | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 13.9% | 16.2% | 15.2% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 16.2% | 16.2% | 13.9% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stanley Galloway | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Rayne Duff | 20.2% | 16.2% | 15.7% | 13.8% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Mraz | 12.8% | 12.6% | 14.4% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Trentham | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 1.9% |
| Cameron Turner | 9.4% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Paula Cabot Jaume | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 13.4% | 13.9% | 13.1% | 8.7% |
| Constantyn van der Voort | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Clare Wagner | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 3.5% |
| Tamryn Whyte | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 10.7% | 17.5% | 41.9% |
| Eric Elias | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 15.0% | 16.5% | 14.4% |
| Clare Leeper | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 15.8% | 17.4% | 13.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.