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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.83+5.90vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute1.73+1.70vs Predicted
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3Washington College1.66+1.23vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology1.06+1.63vs Predicted
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5Princeton University1.87-0.13vs Predicted
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6William and Mary0.12+2.27vs Predicted
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7University of Pittsburgh0.07+1.70vs Predicted
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8Villanova University0.66-1.30vs Predicted
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9SUNY Stony Brook-0.52+3.15vs Predicted
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10Drexel University-0.89+1.28vs Predicted
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11Unknown School-1.21+1.19vs Predicted
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12Syracuse University0.05-2.85vs Predicted
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13Virginia Tech0.72-7.22vs Predicted
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14Catholic University of America-0.40-3.56vs Predicted
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15University of Rochester-1.09-2.89vs Predicted
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16University of Delaware-1.82-2.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.9Christopher Newport University0.835.5%1st Place
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3.7Webb Institute1.7320.1%1st Place
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4.23Washington College1.6617.6%1st Place
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5.63Rochester Institute of Technology1.069.5%1st Place
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4.87Princeton University1.8713.7%1st Place
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8.27William and Mary0.123.9%1st Place
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8.7University of Pittsburgh0.073.5%1st Place
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6.7Villanova University0.667.7%1st Place
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12.15SUNY Stony Brook-0.520.7%1st Place
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11.28Drexel University-0.891.4%1st Place
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12.19Unknown School-1.210.5%1st Place
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9.15Syracuse University0.053.1%1st Place
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5.78Virginia Tech0.729.2%1st Place
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10.44Catholic University of America-0.402.3%1st Place
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12.11University of Rochester-1.090.9%1st Place
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13.9University of Delaware-1.820.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Hodges | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Rayne Duff | 20.1% | 18.6% | 16.2% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 17.6% | 14.2% | 14.5% | 13.4% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Turner | 9.5% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Mraz | 13.7% | 13.4% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Constantyn van der Voort | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Stanley Galloway | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Owen Ward | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Jonathan Gorman | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 15.6% | 17.2% | 13.4% |
| Paula Cabot Jaume | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 13.8% | 12.2% | 13.6% | 7.5% |
| Clare Leeper | 0.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 14.4% | 17.5% | 15.2% |
| Chris Trentham | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Christopher Magno | 9.2% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Clare Wagner | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 3.9% |
| Eric Elias | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 16.0% | 16.0% | 14.1% |
| Tamryn Whyte | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 10.8% | 17.6% | 43.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.