← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Webb Institute1.73+2.72vs Predicted
-
2Rochester Institute of Technology1.06+3.64vs Predicted
-
3SUNY Stony Brook-0.52+8.89vs Predicted
-
4Christopher Newport University0.83+2.88vs Predicted
-
5Princeton University1.870.00vs Predicted
-
6Syracuse University0.05+3.19vs Predicted
-
7William and Mary0.12+1.33vs Predicted
-
8Virginia Tech0.72-2.33vs Predicted
-
9University of Pittsburgh0.07-0.31vs Predicted
-
10Washington College1.66-5.70vs Predicted
-
11Villanova University0.66-4.19vs Predicted
-
12University of Rochester-1.09+0.18vs Predicted
-
13Unknown School-1.21-0.92vs Predicted
-
14Catholic University of America-0.40-3.63vs Predicted
-
15Drexel University-0.89-3.54vs Predicted
-
16University of Delaware-1.82-2.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.72Webb Institute1.7321.4%1st Place
-
5.64Rochester Institute of Technology1.069.3%1st Place
-
11.89SUNY Stony Brook-0.521.2%1st Place
-
6.88Christopher Newport University0.835.7%1st Place
-
5.0Princeton University1.8713.2%1st Place
-
9.19Syracuse University0.053.3%1st Place
-
8.33William and Mary0.124.5%1st Place
-
5.67Virginia Tech0.729.3%1st Place
-
8.69University of Pittsburgh0.073.7%1st Place
-
4.3Washington College1.6615.8%1st Place
-
6.81Villanova University0.666.2%1st Place
-
12.18University of Rochester-1.091.1%1st Place
-
12.08Unknown School-1.211.4%1st Place
-
10.37Catholic University of America-0.401.6%1st Place
-
11.46Drexel University-0.891.6%1st Place
-
13.79University of Delaware-1.820.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayne Duff | 21.4% | 17.8% | 15.4% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Turner | 9.3% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Gorman | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 15.0% | 16.0% | 14.1% |
| Daniel Hodges | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Connor Mraz | 13.2% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Chris Trentham | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 3.6% | 1.6% |
| Constantyn van der Voort | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Christopher Magno | 9.3% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Stanley Galloway | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 15.8% | 15.6% | 13.9% | 14.1% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Owen Ward | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Eric Elias | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 13.3% | 15.2% | 17.9% | 13.3% |
| Clare Leeper | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 15.0% | 16.9% | 14.8% |
| Clare Wagner | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 4.2% |
| Paula Cabot Jaume | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 13.0% | 14.3% | 13.4% | 8.6% |
| Tamryn Whyte | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 17.5% | 41.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.