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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.73+2.73vs Predicted
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2Washington College1.66+2.27vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University0.83+3.81vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.52+7.99vs Predicted
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5Princeton University1.87-0.04vs Predicted
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6Villanova University0.66+0.79vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech0.72-1.20vs Predicted
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8William and Mary0.12+0.23vs Predicted
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9University of Pittsburgh0.07-0.18vs Predicted
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10Rochester Institute of Technology1.06-4.40vs Predicted
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11Syracuse University0.05-1.83vs Predicted
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12University of Rochester-1.09+0.15vs Predicted
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13Catholic University of America-0.40-2.74vs Predicted
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14Unknown School-1.21-1.84vs Predicted
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15University of Delaware-1.82-1.14vs Predicted
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16Drexel University-0.89-4.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.73Webb Institute1.7320.7%1st Place
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4.27Washington College1.6617.5%1st Place
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6.81Christopher Newport University0.836.2%1st Place
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11.99SUNY Stony Brook-0.521.2%1st Place
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4.96Princeton University1.8712.2%1st Place
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6.79Villanova University0.666.6%1st Place
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5.8Virginia Tech0.729.4%1st Place
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8.23William and Mary0.124.0%1st Place
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8.82University of Pittsburgh0.073.5%1st Place
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5.6Rochester Institute of Technology1.0610.0%1st Place
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9.17Syracuse University0.052.8%1st Place
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12.15University of Rochester-1.090.5%1st Place
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10.26Catholic University of America-0.401.9%1st Place
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12.16Unknown School-1.211.2%1st Place
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13.86University of Delaware-1.820.6%1st Place
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11.39Drexel University-0.891.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayne Duff | 20.7% | 18.0% | 16.2% | 13.4% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 17.5% | 14.8% | 13.5% | 14.0% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Hodges | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jonathan Gorman | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 13.6% | 14.4% | 15.8% | 12.7% |
| Connor Mraz | 12.2% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Ward | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Constantyn van der Voort | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Stanley Galloway | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Cameron Turner | 10.0% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Trentham | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 1.5% |
| Eric Elias | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 15.2% | 18.8% | 13.2% |
| Clare Wagner | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 7.6% | 3.6% |
| Clare Leeper | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 14.9% | 17.3% | 15.7% |
| Tamryn Whyte | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 16.9% | 43.1% |
| Paula Cabot Jaume | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 13.7% | 9.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.