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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.73+2.64vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.83+4.75vs Predicted
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3Washington College1.66+1.17vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology1.06+1.64vs Predicted
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5Princeton University1.87+0.03vs Predicted
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6University of Pittsburgh0.07+2.83vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University0.05+2.05vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech0.72-2.13vs Predicted
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9Villanova University0.66-2.23vs Predicted
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10Catholic University of America-0.40+0.38vs Predicted
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11William and Mary0.12-2.73vs Predicted
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12SUNY Stony Brook-0.52+0.14vs Predicted
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13University of Rochester-1.09-0.90vs Predicted
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14Drexel University-0.89-2.62vs Predicted
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15University of Delaware-1.82-1.16vs Predicted
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16Unknown School-1.21-3.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.64Webb Institute1.7321.9%1st Place
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6.75Christopher Newport University0.836.1%1st Place
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4.17Washington College1.6616.8%1st Place
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5.64Rochester Institute of Technology1.0610.1%1st Place
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5.03Princeton University1.8711.6%1st Place
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8.83University of Pittsburgh0.073.1%1st Place
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9.05Syracuse University0.053.4%1st Place
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5.87Virginia Tech0.728.5%1st Place
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6.77Villanova University0.666.8%1st Place
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10.38Catholic University of America-0.402.5%1st Place
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8.27William and Mary0.124.2%1st Place
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12.14SUNY Stony Brook-0.520.9%1st Place
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12.1University of Rochester-1.091.1%1st Place
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11.38Drexel University-0.891.8%1st Place
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13.84University of Delaware-1.820.5%1st Place
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12.14Unknown School-1.210.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayne Duff | 21.9% | 18.4% | 15.8% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Hodges | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 16.8% | 16.2% | 13.8% | 13.3% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Turner | 10.1% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Mraz | 11.6% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stanley Galloway | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Chris Trentham | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 1.1% |
| Christopher Magno | 8.5% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Owen Ward | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Clare Wagner | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 11.0% | 7.6% | 3.2% |
| Constantyn van der Voort | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Jonathan Gorman | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 13.9% | 17.4% | 14.2% |
| Eric Elias | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 15.7% | 15.6% | 14.6% |
| Paula Cabot Jaume | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 12.8% | 13.3% | 12.3% | 10.4% |
| Tamryn Whyte | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 11.2% | 19.7% | 40.8% |
| Clare Leeper | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 14.4% | 17.5% | 14.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.