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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.72+4.75vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.83+4.83vs Predicted
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3Villanova University0.66+3.52vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.52+8.06vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute1.73-1.17vs Predicted
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6University of Pittsburgh0.07+2.56vs Predicted
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7William and Mary0.12+1.29vs Predicted
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8Washington College1.66-3.70vs Predicted
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9Rochester Institute of Technology1.06-3.32vs Predicted
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10Princeton University1.87-5.03vs Predicted
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11Unknown School-1.21+1.17vs Predicted
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12Drexel University-0.89-0.55vs Predicted
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13University of Rochester-1.09-0.87vs Predicted
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14Syracuse University0.05-4.79vs Predicted
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15Catholic University of America-0.40-4.64vs Predicted
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16University of Delaware-1.82-2.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.75Virginia Tech0.729.8%1st Place
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6.83Christopher Newport University0.837.0%1st Place
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6.52Villanova University0.667.0%1st Place
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12.06SUNY Stony Brook-0.521.4%1st Place
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3.83Webb Institute1.7318.0%1st Place
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8.56University of Pittsburgh0.073.6%1st Place
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8.29William and Mary0.124.5%1st Place
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4.3Washington College1.6616.8%1st Place
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5.68Rochester Institute of Technology1.068.6%1st Place
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4.97Princeton University1.8713.3%1st Place
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12.17Unknown School-1.210.7%1st Place
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11.45Drexel University-0.891.8%1st Place
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12.13University of Rochester-1.091.1%1st Place
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9.21Syracuse University0.053.8%1st Place
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10.36Catholic University of America-0.402.2%1st Place
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13.89University of Delaware-1.820.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Magno | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Daniel Hodges | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Owen Ward | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Gorman | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 14.5% | 17.6% | 13.0% |
| Rayne Duff | 18.0% | 19.7% | 16.4% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Stanley Galloway | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Constantyn van der Voort | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 16.8% | 14.1% | 14.2% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Turner | 8.6% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Mraz | 13.3% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Clare Leeper | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 14.2% | 18.1% | 13.9% |
| Paula Cabot Jaume | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 13.7% | 13.7% | 8.8% |
| Eric Elias | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 13.5% | 14.9% | 17.2% | 13.2% |
| Chris Trentham | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| Clare Wagner | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 8.0% | 4.2% |
| Tamryn Whyte | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 10.5% | 17.2% | 44.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.