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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.73+2.82vs Predicted
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2Washington College1.66+2.29vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech0.72+2.80vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology1.06+1.64vs Predicted
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5Villanova University0.66+1.77vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University0.83+0.90vs Predicted
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7University of Pittsburgh0.07+1.54vs Predicted
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8William and Mary0.12+0.34vs Predicted
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9Princeton University1.87-4.07vs Predicted
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10Catholic University of America-0.40+0.38vs Predicted
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11University of Delaware-1.82+2.89vs Predicted
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12SUNY Stony Brook-0.52+0.01vs Predicted
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13Syracuse University0.05-3.90vs Predicted
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14University of Rochester-1.09-1.88vs Predicted
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15Unknown School-1.21-2.91vs Predicted
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16Drexel University-0.89-4.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.82Webb Institute1.7320.4%1st Place
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4.29Washington College1.6616.1%1st Place
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5.8Virginia Tech0.728.8%1st Place
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5.64Rochester Institute of Technology1.069.8%1st Place
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6.77Villanova University0.666.6%1st Place
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6.9Christopher Newport University0.835.9%1st Place
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8.54University of Pittsburgh0.074.0%1st Place
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8.34William and Mary0.124.9%1st Place
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4.93Princeton University1.8712.8%1st Place
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10.38Catholic University of America-0.401.9%1st Place
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13.89University of Delaware-1.820.8%1st Place
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12.01SUNY Stony Brook-0.521.2%1st Place
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9.1Syracuse University0.053.2%1st Place
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12.12University of Rochester-1.091.1%1st Place
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12.09Unknown School-1.210.9%1st Place
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11.39Drexel University-0.891.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayne Duff | 20.4% | 16.9% | 15.5% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 16.1% | 15.7% | 15.2% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 8.8% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Turner | 9.8% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Ward | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Daniel Hodges | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Stanley Galloway | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Constantyn van der Voort | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Connor Mraz | 12.8% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Clare Wagner | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 4.3% |
| Tamryn Whyte | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 10.4% | 18.9% | 42.5% |
| Jonathan Gorman | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 13.4% | 14.4% | 16.0% | 12.6% |
| Chris Trentham | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 1.2% |
| Eric Elias | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 16.8% | 15.2% |
| Clare Leeper | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 14.6% | 16.4% | 14.1% |
| Paula Cabot Jaume | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 14.7% | 12.8% | 8.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.