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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech1.14+3.00vs Predicted
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2Catholic University of America-0.38+7.04vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University0.59+2.57vs Predicted
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4Princeton University0.27+2.35vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy-1.15+6.21vs Predicted
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6Webb Institute0.65-0.46vs Predicted
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7Washington College0.35-0.74vs Predicted
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8Syracuse University0.01-0.57vs Predicted
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9Drexel University-1.13+2.33vs Predicted
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10Rochester Institute of Technology-0.44-1.08vs Predicted
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11William and Mary0.51-5.43vs Predicted
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12Unknown School-0.93-1.53vs Predicted
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13University of Delaware-1.67-0.46vs Predicted
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14University of Rochester-0.54-4.77vs Predicted
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15SUNY Stony Brook-0.40-5.95vs Predicted
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16University of Pittsburgh-2.08-2.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.0Virginia Tech1.1419.1%1st Place
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9.04Catholic University of America-0.383.6%1st Place
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5.57Christopher Newport University0.5910.4%1st Place
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6.35Princeton University0.279.2%1st Place
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11.21U. S. Naval Academy-1.151.9%1st Place
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5.54Webb Institute0.6511.2%1st Place
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6.26Washington College0.359.2%1st Place
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7.43Syracuse University0.015.9%1st Place
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11.33Drexel University-1.132.0%1st Place
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8.92Rochester Institute of Technology-0.443.5%1st Place
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5.57William and Mary0.5110.9%1st Place
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10.47Unknown School-0.933.0%1st Place
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12.54University of Delaware-1.671.3%1st Place
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9.23University of Rochester-0.543.5%1st Place
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9.05SUNY Stony Brook-0.404.0%1st Place
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13.5University of Pittsburgh-2.081.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reid Shanabrook | 19.1% | 17.8% | 14.0% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Walters | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 2.1% |
| Luke Hayes | 10.4% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jasper Waldman | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Sawyer Barnard | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 14.1% | 14.2% | 9.2% |
| Evan Spalding | 11.2% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Camden Ward | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Shay Gualdoni | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Yanni Tsetsekos | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 15.3% | 10.4% |
| Ethan Hall | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
| Nathan Whisner | 10.9% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Luke Plecinoga | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 7.2% |
| Laura MacMillan | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 14.2% | 19.6% | 21.6% |
| Abby Eckert | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 2.6% |
| Kristin Hess | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 1.9% |
| Jason "Strongbones" Case | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 10.9% | 15.8% | 42.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.