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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1William and Mary0.51+4.44vs Predicted
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2Catholic University of America-0.38+6.89vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University0.59+2.67vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech1.14-0.08vs Predicted
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5Washington College0.35+1.37vs Predicted
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6Webb Institute0.65-0.58vs Predicted
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7University of Delaware-1.67+5.54vs Predicted
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8Unknown School-0.93+2.37vs Predicted
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9SUNY Stony Brook-0.40-0.09vs Predicted
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10Rochester Institute of Technology-0.44-0.86vs Predicted
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11Princeton University0.27-4.64vs Predicted
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12Syracuse University0.01-4.60vs Predicted
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13University of Rochester-0.54-3.83vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy-1.15-2.61vs Predicted
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15Drexel University-1.13-3.80vs Predicted
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16University of Pittsburgh-2.08-2.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.44William and Mary0.5111.2%1st Place
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8.89Catholic University of America-0.384.0%1st Place
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5.67Christopher Newport University0.5912.2%1st Place
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3.92Virginia Tech1.1418.4%1st Place
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6.37Washington College0.358.8%1st Place
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5.42Webb Institute0.6510.9%1st Place
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12.54University of Delaware-1.671.1%1st Place
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10.37Unknown School-0.932.2%1st Place
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8.91SUNY Stony Brook-0.404.1%1st Place
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9.14Rochester Institute of Technology-0.443.5%1st Place
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6.36Princeton University0.278.6%1st Place
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7.4Syracuse University0.017.2%1st Place
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9.17University of Rochester-0.543.2%1st Place
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11.39U. S. Naval Academy-1.151.8%1st Place
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11.2Drexel University-1.132.1%1st Place
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13.8University of Pittsburgh-2.080.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Whisner | 11.2% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Walters | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 1.7% |
| Luke Hayes | 12.2% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Reid Shanabrook | 18.4% | 18.8% | 16.0% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Camden Ward | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Evan Spalding | 10.9% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Laura MacMillan | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 10.2% | 13.4% | 17.2% | 23.8% |
| Luke Plecinoga | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 6.0% |
| Kristin Hess | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 2.0% |
| Ethan Hall | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 1.7% |
| Jasper Waldman | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Shay Gualdoni | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Abby Eckert | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 1.9% |
| Sawyer Barnard | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 13.7% | 15.2% | 10.6% |
| Yanni Tsetsekos | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 14.8% | 12.4% | 10.1% |
| Jason "Strongbones" Case | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 11.1% | 19.3% | 41.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.