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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech1.14+2.85vs Predicted
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2Princeton University0.27+4.31vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute0.39+3.28vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.58+5.10vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University0.01+2.19vs Predicted
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6University of Pittsburgh-2.08+7.61vs Predicted
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7William and Mary0.51-1.46vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University0.59-2.33vs Predicted
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9Drexel University-1.13+2.12vs Predicted
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10Catholic University of America-0.38-1.15vs Predicted
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11University of Rochester-0.54-1.81vs Predicted
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12Washington College0.35-5.79vs Predicted
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13Rochester Institute of Technology-0.44-4.21vs Predicted
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14University of Delaware-1.67-1.41vs Predicted
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15Unknown School-0.93-4.48vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy-1.15-4.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.85Virginia Tech1.1421.3%1st Place
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6.31Princeton University0.278.6%1st Place
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6.28Webb Institute0.398.0%1st Place
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9.1SUNY Stony Brook-0.583.9%1st Place
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7.19Syracuse University0.017.3%1st Place
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13.61University of Pittsburgh-2.080.7%1st Place
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5.54William and Mary0.5111.2%1st Place
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5.67Christopher Newport University0.5910.2%1st Place
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11.12Drexel University-1.131.8%1st Place
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8.85Catholic University of America-0.384.5%1st Place
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9.19University of Rochester-0.544.2%1st Place
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6.21Washington College0.358.8%1st Place
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8.79Rochester Institute of Technology-0.444.0%1st Place
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12.59University of Delaware-1.671.6%1st Place
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10.52Unknown School-0.932.2%1st Place
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11.19U. S. Naval Academy-1.151.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reid Shanabrook | 21.3% | 17.1% | 14.1% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jasper Waldman | 8.6% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Eric Heilshorn | 8.0% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Magill | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 2.2% |
| Shay Gualdoni | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Jason "Strongbones" Case | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 15.7% | 42.9% |
| Nathan Whisner | 11.2% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Luke Hayes | 10.2% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Yanni Tsetsekos | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 14.2% | 8.7% |
| Alex Walters | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 1.8% |
| Abby Eckert | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 2.1% |
| Camden Ward | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Hall | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 1.4% |
| Laura MacMillan | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 18.7% | 24.1% |
| Luke Plecinoga | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 6.9% |
| Sawyer Barnard | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 13.8% | 14.0% | 9.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.