Race 1A

np-4

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
John Reddaway 32.3% 25.8% 17.1% 12.3% 6.5% 3.8% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.1%
David Rogers 30.1% 25.1% 20.6% 13.2% 6.7% 3.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Lillian Brown 8.2% 9.2% 10.1% 13.9% 15.3% 15.9% 13.8% 8.9% 3.8% 0.9%
Brent DeAngelis 2.2% 4.8% 4.8% 8.5% 11.5% 12.0% 16.2% 18.1% 14.9% 7.0%
Christopher Moe 6.2% 6.5% 10.0% 11.0% 11.4% 16.9% 15.2% 11.4% 8.7% 2.7%
Jeffrey Pyles 7.6% 9.0% 12.4% 11.4% 16.6% 14.3% 11.2% 11.1% 5.4% 1.0%
Joshua Kim 8.5% 13.4% 15.1% 18.3% 14.7% 12.2% 10.1% 5.2% 2.3% 0.2%
Nichole Palen 2.3% 3.2% 5.1% 5.4% 8.5% 10.0% 13.2% 18.9% 21.4% 12.0%
Sullivan Madewell 1.7% 2.1% 3.7% 4.2% 5.1% 9.0% 12.0% 16.4% 25.6% 20.2%
Henry Taylor 0.9% 0.9% 1.1% 1.8% 3.7% 2.8% 5.6% 9.4% 17.9% 55.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.