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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.48+4.83vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech1.14+1.98vs Predicted
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3William and Mary0.51+2.71vs Predicted
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4Princeton University0.27+2.42vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University0.01+2.62vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America-0.38+3.16vs Predicted
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7SUNY Stony Brook-0.40+2.34vs Predicted
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8University of Rochester-0.54+1.47vs Predicted
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9Drexel University-1.13+2.43vs Predicted
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10Webb Institute0.39-3.64vs Predicted
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11Villanova University-0.11-3.16vs Predicted
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12Rochester Institute of Technology-0.44-2.71vs Predicted
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13University of Pittsburgh-2.08+0.71vs Predicted
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14University of Delaware-1.67-1.26vs Predicted
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15Unknown School-0.93-4.21vs Predicted
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16Washington College0.35-9.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.83Christopher Newport University0.4811.2%1st Place
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3.98Virginia Tech1.1420.8%1st Place
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5.71William and Mary0.5110.7%1st Place
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6.42Princeton University0.278.8%1st Place
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7.62Syracuse University0.016.2%1st Place
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9.16Catholic University of America-0.383.4%1st Place
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9.34SUNY Stony Brook-0.403.8%1st Place
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9.47University of Rochester-0.543.5%1st Place
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11.43Drexel University-1.132.1%1st Place
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6.36Webb Institute0.398.4%1st Place
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7.84Villanova University-0.115.3%1st Place
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9.29Rochester Institute of Technology-0.443.5%1st Place
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13.71University of Pittsburgh-2.080.7%1st Place
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12.74University of Delaware-1.670.9%1st Place
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10.79Unknown School-0.932.5%1st Place
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6.32Washington College0.358.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Grace | 11.2% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Reid Shanabrook | 20.8% | 17.3% | 15.0% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Whisner | 10.7% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jasper Waldman | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Shay Gualdoni | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Alex Walters | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 2.6% |
| Kristin Hess | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 2.1% |
| Abby Eckert | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 2.5% |
| Yanni Tsetsekos | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 13.5% | 17.5% | 12.2% |
| Eric Heilshorn | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Jack Murray | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Ethan Hall | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 2.1% |
| Jason "Strongbones" Case | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 16.2% | 44.9% |
| Laura MacMillan | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 13.6% | 21.6% | 23.6% |
| Luke Plecinoga | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 7.8% |
| Camden Ward | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.