← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Georgia Institute of Technology1.40+1.57vs Predicted
-
2Vanderbilt University0.03+2.91vs Predicted
-
3The Citadel-0.31+2.58vs Predicted
-
4University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.08+1.11vs Predicted
-
5North Carolina State University-1.09+1.95vs Predicted
-
6North Carolina State University1.38-3.45vs Predicted
-
7Auburn University-1.38+0.63vs Predicted
-
8Auburn University-0.78-1.56vs Predicted
-
9Georgia Institute of Technology0.30-4.61vs Predicted
-
10University of Georgia-2.23-1.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.57Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.3%1st Place
-
4.91Vanderbilt University0.030.1%1st Place
-
5.58The Citadel-0.310.1%1st Place
-
5.11University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.080.1%1st Place
-
6.95North Carolina State University-1.090.0%1st Place
-
2.55North Carolina State University1.380.3%1st Place
-
7.63Auburn University-1.380.0%1st Place
-
6.44Auburn University-0.780.0%1st Place
-
4.39Georgia Institute of Technology0.300.1%1st Place
-
8.86University of Georgia-2.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Reddaway | 30.8% | 27.9% | 17.5% | 11.3% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Lillian Brown | 8.6% | 8.4% | 11.9% | 14.6% | 13.9% | 16.1% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 4.0% | 0.7% |
| Christopher Moe | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 13.0% | 15.7% | 16.8% | 12.0% | 7.9% | 2.7% |
| Jeffrey Pyles | 5.9% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 14.4% | 17.1% | 14.3% | 13.8% | 9.2% | 4.9% | 1.3% |
| Nichole Palen | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 13.0% | 19.4% | 21.6% | 11.1% |
| David Rogers | 30.8% | 27.0% | 17.8% | 12.3% | 7.4% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Sullivan Madewell | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 13.3% | 16.1% | 26.8% | 19.0% |
| Brent DeAngelis | 3.0% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 15.1% | 17.1% | 15.7% | 7.0% |
| Joshua Kim | 9.7% | 11.0% | 16.9% | 15.5% | 15.4% | 14.0% | 9.5% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Henry Taylor | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 9.8% | 16.5% | 57.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.