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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech1.14+2.99vs Predicted
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2Princeton University0.27+4.31vs Predicted
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3Washington College0.35+3.28vs Predicted
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4Catholic University of America-0.38+5.29vs Predicted
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5University of Delaware-1.67+7.88vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University0.01+1.43vs Predicted
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7Webb Institute0.39-0.48vs Predicted
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8Rochester Institute of Technology-0.44+1.07vs Predicted
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9Unknown School-0.93+1.91vs Predicted
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10SUNY Stony Brook-0.40-0.80vs Predicted
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11William and Mary0.51-5.36vs Predicted
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12University of Pittsburgh-2.08+1.67vs Predicted
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13Villanova University-0.11-5.10vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University0.48-8.00vs Predicted
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15University of Rochester-0.54-5.59vs Predicted
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16Drexel University-1.13-4.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.99Virginia Tech1.1420.3%1st Place
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6.31Princeton University0.278.9%1st Place
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6.28Washington College0.358.9%1st Place
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9.29Catholic University of America-0.383.4%1st Place
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12.88University of Delaware-1.671.0%1st Place
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7.43Syracuse University0.016.0%1st Place
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6.52Webb Institute0.398.0%1st Place
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9.07Rochester Institute of Technology-0.444.0%1st Place
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10.91Unknown School-0.931.9%1st Place
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9.2SUNY Stony Brook-0.404.1%1st Place
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5.64William and Mary0.5111.9%1st Place
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13.67University of Pittsburgh-2.081.0%1st Place
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7.9Villanova University-0.115.5%1st Place
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6.0Christopher Newport University0.4810.0%1st Place
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9.41University of Rochester-0.543.0%1st Place
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11.51Drexel University-1.132.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reid Shanabrook | 20.3% | 17.0% | 14.3% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jasper Waldman | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Camden Ward | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Alex Walters | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 2.6% |
| Laura MacMillan | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 8.9% | 13.6% | 20.8% | 26.5% |
| Shay Gualdoni | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Eric Heilshorn | 8.0% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Ethan Hall | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 2.2% |
| Luke Plecinoga | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 14.2% | 7.8% |
| Kristin Hess | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 2.1% |
| Nathan Whisner | 11.9% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jason "Strongbones" Case | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 9.6% | 17.4% | 43.0% |
| Jack Murray | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| David Grace | 10.0% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Abby Eckert | 3.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 3.1% |
| Yanni Tsetsekos | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 14.3% | 16.4% | 11.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.