Race 5A

np-4

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
John Reddaway 30.7% 24.8% 16.1% 14.2% 7.6% 3.8% 2.0% 0.5% 0.3% 0.0%
David Rogers 29.5% 24.6% 18.3% 13.4% 8.1% 3.3% 2.3% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Robert Marshall 11.1% 10.6% 14.8% 14.1% 18.1% 14.3% 10.5% 4.1% 2.2% 0.2%
Jeffrey Pyles 5.0% 8.0% 12.4% 12.5% 12.1% 16.3% 15.8% 10.6% 6.0% 1.3%
Sullivan Madewell 2.0% 3.2% 3.2% 4.4% 5.4% 6.6% 10.7% 17.7% 25.3% 21.5%
Brent DeAngelis 4.0% 4.3% 5.4% 5.6% 9.3% 13.0% 13.9% 21.5% 16.3% 6.7%
Nichole Palen 1.8% 2.6% 3.1% 6.2% 6.7% 9.6% 15.2% 19.7% 22.8% 12.3%
Lillian Brown 6.9% 9.1% 11.6% 12.5% 14.6% 16.4% 13.3% 9.4% 5.3% 0.9%
Henry Taylor 0.7% 0.7% 1.6% 1.9% 2.7% 3.6% 4.5% 9.1% 18.2% 57.0%
Joshua Kim 8.3% 12.1% 13.5% 15.2% 15.4% 13.1% 11.8% 6.9% 3.6% 0.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.