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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University3.54+6.24vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.45+5.57vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.92+6.55vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.71+2.33vs Predicted
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5Texas A&M University at Galveston2.20+6.94vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.65+0.55vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.90+2.42vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80-1.97vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.45-1.69vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.50-2.59vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California2.57-0.17vs Predicted
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12University of Washington1.69+1.95vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University2.81-3.32vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin1.94-1.40vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston3.78-8.88vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan1.32-1.22vs Predicted
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17Harvard University3.38-9.26vs Predicted
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18University of Texas0.71-2.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.24Old Dominion University3.540.1%1st Place
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7.57Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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9.55Stanford University2.920.0%1st Place
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6.33Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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11.94Texas A&M University at Galveston2.200.0%1st Place
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6.55Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
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9.42Eckerd College2.900.0%1st Place
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6.03St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
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7.31Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.450.1%1st Place
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7.41Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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10.83University of Southern California2.570.0%1st Place
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13.95University of Washington1.690.0%1st Place
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9.68Georgetown University2.810.0%1st Place
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12.6University of Wisconsin1.940.0%1st Place
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6.12College of Charleston3.780.1%1st Place
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14.78University of Michigan1.320.0%1st Place
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7.74Harvard University3.380.1%1st Place
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15.95University of Texas0.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katrina Williams | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Burroughs | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 9.8% | 13.0% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Laura Stamets | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 4.3% |
| Margaret Tautz | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Emilie Mademann | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Megan Magill | 9.9% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kelly Crane | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emily Maxwell | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Rupp | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 5.0% | 2.2% |
| Alyce Flanagan | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 14.8% | 19.4% | 14.8% |
| Lauren Burke | 4.6% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Mary Cummins | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 15.5% | 13.3% | 6.7% |
| Shannon Heausler | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Barch | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 10.3% | 14.5% | 22.6% | 22.9% |
| Elizabeth Powers | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Hazel Mahony | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 9.8% | 19.7% | 46.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.