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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech1.14+3.14vs Predicted
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2Catholic University of America-0.38+7.08vs Predicted
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3University of Rochester-0.54+6.47vs Predicted
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4Princeton University0.27+2.62vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University0.01+2.62vs Predicted
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6Webb Institute0.65-0.38vs Predicted
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7University of Delaware-1.67+5.90vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University0.48-2.22vs Predicted
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9Drexel University-1.13+2.47vs Predicted
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10Villanova University-0.11-1.99vs Predicted
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11Rochester Institute of Technology-0.44-1.73vs Predicted
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12Washington College0.35-5.54vs Predicted
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13William and Mary0.51-7.25vs Predicted
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14SUNY Stony Brook-0.40-4.68vs Predicted
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15Unknown School-0.93-4.11vs Predicted
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16University of Pittsburgh-2.08-2.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.14Virginia Tech1.1417.4%1st Place
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9.08Catholic University of America-0.383.9%1st Place
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9.47University of Rochester-0.542.9%1st Place
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6.62Princeton University0.277.9%1st Place
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7.62Syracuse University0.016.2%1st Place
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5.62Webb Institute0.6511.3%1st Place
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12.9University of Delaware-1.671.1%1st Place
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5.78Christopher Newport University0.4810.8%1st Place
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11.47Drexel University-1.132.1%1st Place
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8.01Villanova University-0.114.5%1st Place
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9.27Rochester Institute of Technology-0.444.1%1st Place
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6.46Washington College0.359.5%1st Place
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5.75William and Mary0.5111.1%1st Place
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9.32SUNY Stony Brook-0.403.9%1st Place
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10.89Unknown School-0.932.5%1st Place
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13.6University of Pittsburgh-2.080.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reid Shanabrook | 17.4% | 16.9% | 15.1% | 13.7% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Walters | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 1.9% |
| Abby Eckert | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 2.6% |
| Jasper Waldman | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Shay Gualdoni | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Evan Spalding | 11.3% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Laura MacMillan | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 13.2% | 21.2% | 26.4% |
| David Grace | 10.8% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Yanni Tsetsekos | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 13.7% | 15.5% | 12.0% |
| Jack Murray | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Ethan Hall | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 2.5% |
| Camden Ward | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Nathan Whisner | 11.1% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kristin Hess | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 5.9% | 2.2% |
| Luke Plecinoga | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 8.6% |
| Jason "Strongbones" Case | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 17.8% | 41.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.