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📊 Prediction Accuracy
34.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
23
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.77+2.13vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego1.38+5.65vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.85+2.50vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley0.73+5.76vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.87+0.51vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-0.42+8.02vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13+1.01vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles1.48-1.54vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara1.68-3.09vs Predicted
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10San Diego State University1.59-3.77vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles0.32-0.32vs Predicted
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12California State University Monterey Bay0.03+2.14vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.14+4.33vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego0.00-1.81vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Cruz-0.97+0.79vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University-1.00+0.29vs Predicted
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17University of California at Berkeley-0.08-4.76vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Cruz-0.76-2.76vs Predicted
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19Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.45-0.72vs Predicted
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20California State University Channel Islands-1.06-3.56vs Predicted
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21University of California at Davis-1.59-2.08vs Predicted
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22University of California at Los Angeles-1.39-4.16vs Predicted
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23California State University Channel Islands-1.50-4.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.13University of Southern California2.7726.5%1st Place
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7.65University of California at San Diego1.385.8%1st Place
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5.5University of California at Santa Barbara1.8510.9%1st Place
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9.76University of California at Berkeley0.733.5%1st Place
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5.51University of California at Santa Barbara1.8711.5%1st Place
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14.02University of California at San Diego-0.421.1%1st Place
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8.01Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.133.5%1st Place
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6.46University of California at Los Angeles1.489.1%1st Place
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5.91University of California at Santa Barbara1.688.3%1st Place
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6.23San Diego State University1.597.6%1st Place
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10.68University of California at Los Angeles0.322.1%1st Place
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14.14California State University Monterey Bay0.031.2%1st Place
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17.33Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.140.7%1st Place
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12.19University of California at San Diego0.001.6%1st Place
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15.79University of California at Santa Cruz-0.970.9%1st Place
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16.29Arizona State University-1.000.7%1st Place
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12.24University of California at Berkeley-0.081.7%1st Place
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15.24University of California at Santa Cruz-0.761.1%1st Place
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18.28Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.450.4%1st Place
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16.44California State University Channel Islands-1.060.6%1st Place
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18.92University of California at Davis-1.590.3%1st Place
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17.84University of California at Los Angeles-1.390.6%1st Place
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18.43California State University Channel Islands-1.500.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Hou | 26.5% | 22.2% | 17.3% | 12.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lukas Kraak | 10.9% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jake Zieba | 11.5% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Brooks | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 3.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Schuyler Capita | 8.3% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Buckner | 7.6% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Marshall | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Caila Devlin | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Jack Kelly | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 9.6% |
| Alexander Bastuba | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Savannah Hallgarth | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.5% |
| Antoine Kepczyk | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 4.8% |
| Luc LaMontagne | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Tristan Bellevin | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 1.8% |
| Jeffrey Romeo | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 14.2% | 17.2% |
| Kaylena Mann | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 5.9% |
| Grace Chitouras | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 23.3% |
| Deven Douglas | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 13.1% | 12.3% |
| Olivia Feito | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 14.2% | 17.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.