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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.14+1.38vs Predicted
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2Vanderbilt University-0.03+2.07vs Predicted
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3Georgia Institute of Technology-0.63+2.12vs Predicted
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4The Citadel0.35-0.52vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.04-2.53vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University-1.74+0.92vs Predicted
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7Auburn University-1.97+0.33vs Predicted
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8University of Georgia-1.71-1.17vs Predicted
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9Georgia Institute of Technology-1.67-2.16vs Predicted
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10Auburn University-4.03-0.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.38North Carolina State University1.140.4%1st Place
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4.07Vanderbilt University-0.030.1%1st Place
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5.12Georgia Institute of Technology-0.630.1%1st Place
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3.48The Citadel0.350.1%1st Place
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2.47University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.040.3%1st Place
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6.92North Carolina State University-1.740.0%1st Place
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7.33Auburn University-1.970.0%1st Place
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6.83University of Georgia-1.710.0%1st Place
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6.84Georgia Institute of Technology-1.670.0%1st Place
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9.57Auburn University-4.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benton Morton | 35.7% | 26.1% | 17.3% | 11.2% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Kaplon | 9.5% | 11.3% | 18.8% | 19.7% | 18.8% | 12.2% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Salley | 5.4% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 18.2% | 22.0% | 14.5% | 7.8% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Jared Chrysostom | 13.0% | 18.3% | 21.5% | 20.8% | 14.9% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Kailey Savacool | 29.3% | 29.5% | 18.4% | 14.4% | 5.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marc Celestini | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 12.7% | 18.0% | 21.6% | 21.0% | 4.7% |
| Jonathan Ashworth | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 18.3% | 21.6% | 26.2% | 6.8% |
| Michael Stolorena | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 9.9% | 15.4% | 17.0% | 20.8% | 20.4% | 3.1% |
| Gins Holde | 1.4% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 9.5% | 15.6% | 17.0% | 19.6% | 21.1% | 3.7% |
| Cailyn Gray | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 7.8% | 81.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.