← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at San Diego-0.08+10.14vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Berkeley0.98+4.40vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Davis-0.19+8.70vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Los Angeles0.94+2.46vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Berkeley0.98+1.27vs Predicted
-
6California State University Monterey Bay-0.57+7.54vs Predicted
-
7University of California at San Diego-0.51+6.00vs Predicted
-
8Arizona State University0.74-0.67vs Predicted
-
9University of California at San Diego-0.58+4.58vs Predicted
-
10Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.27-0.52vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Davis-0.58+2.76vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Los Angeles0.43-3.36vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Berkeley0.58-4.84vs Predicted
-
14San Diego State University0.29-4.77vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Los Angeles-0.72-0.92vs Predicted
-
16University of California at Santa Cruz-0.83-1.61vs Predicted
-
17University of California at San Diego0.22-7.34vs Predicted
-
18Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26-8.57vs Predicted
-
19Arizona State University-0.41-6.38vs Predicted
-
20Arizona State University-2.07-0.94vs Predicted
-
21University of California at San Diego-1.56-3.54vs Predicted
-
22University of California at Davis-1.65-4.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
11.14University of California at San Diego-0.084.2%1st Place
-
6.4University of California at Berkeley0.9811.7%1st Place
-
11.7University of California at Davis-0.193.0%1st Place
-
6.46University of California at Los Angeles0.9410.9%1st Place
-
6.27University of California at Berkeley0.989.7%1st Place
-
13.54California State University Monterey Bay-0.572.0%1st Place
-
13.0University of California at San Diego-0.512.8%1st Place
-
7.33Arizona State University0.748.2%1st Place
-
13.58University of California at San Diego-0.582.5%1st Place
-
9.48Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.275.3%1st Place
-
13.76University of California at Davis-0.581.7%1st Place
-
8.64University of California at Los Angeles0.436.4%1st Place
-
8.16University of California at Berkeley0.586.6%1st Place
-
9.23San Diego State University0.295.3%1st Place
-
14.08University of California at Los Angeles-0.721.8%1st Place
-
14.39University of California at Santa Cruz-0.832.3%1st Place
-
9.66University of California at San Diego0.225.2%1st Place
-
9.43Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.265.6%1st Place
-
12.62Arizona State University-0.412.9%1st Place
-
19.06Arizona State University-2.070.4%1st Place
-
17.46University of California at San Diego-1.560.7%1st Place
-
17.61University of California at Davis-1.650.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Reuter | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Will Cornell | 11.7% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Holden | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Drew Wolf | 10.9% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 9.7% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sasha Wilson | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 2.6% |
| Andrew Keller | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 1.4% |
| Aidan Boylan | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sean Lipps | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 2.4% |
| Samuel Groom | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jonah Brees | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 2.8% |
| Zack Taylor | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael McCulloch | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Collignon | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| tess McMullin | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 4.1% |
| Noam Elroi | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 3.5% |
| Svenja Leonard | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Florence Duff | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Mitchell Powers | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Nicholas Peters | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 17.5% | 40.8% |
| Yasminna Sanchez | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 17.8% | 17.3% |
| Cooper Cook | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 12.2% | 17.9% | 22.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.