← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
24
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Southern California2.77+2.17vs Predicted
-
2Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13+6.09vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Santa Barbara1.87+2.60vs Predicted
-
4University of California at San Diego1.38+3.98vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Santa Barbara1.68+1.04vs Predicted
-
6San Diego State University1.59+0.35vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Santa Barbara1.85-1.45vs Predicted
-
8University of California at San Diego0.00+4.51vs Predicted
-
9University of California at San Diego-0.42+5.58vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Los Angeles0.32+0.88vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Irvine-0.48+3.46vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Los Angeles1.48-5.51vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Santa Cruz-0.97+3.89vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Berkeley-0.08-1.30vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Berkeley0.73-5.06vs Predicted
-
16University of California at Santa Cruz-0.76-0.05vs Predicted
-
17Arizona State University-1.00-0.25vs Predicted
-
18California State University Monterey Bay0.03-3.24vs Predicted
-
19Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.45+0.28vs Predicted
-
20Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.14-2.34vs Predicted
-
21California State University Channel Islands-1.50-1.91vs Predicted
-
22University of California at Los Angeles-1.39-3.71vs Predicted
-
23California State University Channel Islands-1.06-5.90vs Predicted
-
24University of California at Davis-1.59-4.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.17University of Southern California2.7727.5%1st Place
-
8.09Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.135.3%1st Place
-
5.6University of California at Santa Barbara1.879.2%1st Place
-
7.98University of California at San Diego1.385.8%1st Place
-
6.04University of California at Santa Barbara1.688.0%1st Place
-
6.35San Diego State University1.597.7%1st Place
-
5.55University of California at Santa Barbara1.8511.8%1st Place
-
12.51University of California at San Diego0.001.3%1st Place
-
14.58University of California at San Diego-0.420.9%1st Place
-
10.88University of California at Los Angeles0.322.3%1st Place
-
14.46University of California at Irvine-0.481.2%1st Place
-
6.49University of California at Los Angeles1.487.8%1st Place
-
16.89University of California at Santa Cruz-0.970.8%1st Place
-
12.7University of California at Berkeley-0.081.8%1st Place
-
9.94University of California at Berkeley0.733.5%1st Place
-
15.95University of California at Santa Cruz-0.760.9%1st Place
-
16.75Arizona State University-1.000.5%1st Place
-
14.76California State University Monterey Bay0.030.9%1st Place
-
19.28Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.450.3%1st Place
-
17.66Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.140.5%1st Place
-
19.09California State University Channel Islands-1.500.7%1st Place
-
18.29University of California at Los Angeles-1.390.5%1st Place
-
17.1California State University Channel Islands-1.060.4%1st Place
-
19.89University of California at Davis-1.590.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Hou | 27.5% | 21.1% | 16.3% | 11.7% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jake Zieba | 9.2% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Schuyler Capita | 8.0% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Buckner | 7.7% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lukas Kraak | 11.8% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Bastuba | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Amanda Brooks | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Ian Marshall | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| LeeAnn Burrows | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Savannah Hallgarth | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 4.3% |
| Luc LaMontagne | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tristan Bellevin | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 2.8% |
| Antoine Kepczyk | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 3.9% |
| Caila Devlin | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.9% |
| Jeffrey Romeo | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 13.7% | 17.8% |
| Jack Kelly | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 8.6% |
| Olivia Feito | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 15.0% | 16.4% |
| Deven Douglas | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 12.2% |
| Kaylena Mann | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 6.1% |
| Grace Chitouras | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 15.5% | 23.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.