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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley0.98+5.31vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley0.98+4.14vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles0.94+3.56vs Predicted
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4San Diego State University0.29+5.38vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.58+2.89vs Predicted
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6California State University Monterey Bay-0.57+7.70vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-0.08+3.99vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles0.43+0.75vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis-0.58+4.82vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis-0.19+1.58vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-0.58+2.47vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.27-2.40vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University0.74-5.75vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Cruz-0.83+0.40vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego0.22-5.25vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-0.51-2.80vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26-7.75vs Predicted
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18University of California at Los Angeles-0.72-3.80vs Predicted
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19University of California at Davis-1.65-1.45vs Predicted
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20Arizona State University-2.07-1.01vs Predicted
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21Arizona State University-0.41-8.20vs Predicted
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22University of California at San Diego-1.56-4.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.31University of California at Berkeley0.9810.0%1st Place
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6.14University of California at Berkeley0.9812.0%1st Place
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6.56University of California at Los Angeles0.9411.7%1st Place
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9.38San Diego State University0.295.4%1st Place
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7.89University of California at Berkeley0.588.3%1st Place
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13.7California State University Monterey Bay-0.571.7%1st Place
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10.99University of California at San Diego-0.083.4%1st Place
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8.75University of California at Los Angeles0.435.9%1st Place
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13.82University of California at Davis-0.581.6%1st Place
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11.58University of California at Davis-0.193.2%1st Place
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13.47University of California at San Diego-0.582.8%1st Place
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9.6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.274.5%1st Place
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7.25Arizona State University0.747.7%1st Place
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14.4University of California at Santa Cruz-0.832.5%1st Place
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9.75University of California at San Diego0.224.9%1st Place
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13.2University of California at San Diego-0.512.5%1st Place
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9.25Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.265.9%1st Place
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14.2University of California at Los Angeles-0.721.8%1st Place
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17.55University of California at Davis-1.650.8%1st Place
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18.99Arizona State University-2.070.4%1st Place
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12.8Arizona State University-0.412.5%1st Place
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17.41University of California at San Diego-1.560.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Cornell | 10.0% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 12.0% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drew Wolf | 11.7% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Collignon | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Michael McCulloch | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Sasha Wilson | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 2.5% |
| Gabriel Reuter | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Zack Taylor | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jonah Brees | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 2.4% |
| Nathaniel Holden | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Sean Lipps | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 2.9% |
| Samuel Groom | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Aidan Boylan | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Noam Elroi | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 3.9% |
| Svenja Leonard | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Keller | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 1.8% |
| Florence Duff | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| tess McMullin | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 3.9% |
| Cooper Cook | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 12.3% | 17.4% | 21.3% |
| Nicholas Peters | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 17.9% | 39.0% |
| Mitchell Powers | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Yasminna Sanchez | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 9.5% | 13.0% | 17.8% | 18.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.