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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley0.98+5.38vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley0.74+5.50vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles0.94+3.69vs Predicted
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4Arizona State University0.74+3.34vs Predicted
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5University of California at Davis-0.19+6.77vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis-0.58+8.01vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego0.22+2.53vs Predicted
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8San Diego State University0.29+1.48vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles0.43-0.38vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley0.98-3.63vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-0.58+2.63vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-0.51+1.03vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26-3.82vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.27-4.43vs Predicted
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15California State University Monterey Bay-0.57-1.32vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-0.72-1.82vs Predicted
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17University of California at Davis-1.65+0.53vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-1.56-0.80vs Predicted
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19Arizona State University-0.41-6.34vs Predicted
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20Arizona State University-2.07-1.03vs Predicted
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21University of California at Santa Cruz-0.83-6.34vs Predicted
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22University of California at San Diego-0.08-10.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.38University of California at Berkeley0.9810.0%1st Place
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7.5University of California at Berkeley0.749.0%1st Place
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6.69University of California at Los Angeles0.9410.5%1st Place
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7.34Arizona State University0.748.5%1st Place
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11.77University of California at Davis-0.192.6%1st Place
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14.01University of California at Davis-0.582.2%1st Place
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9.53University of California at San Diego0.225.7%1st Place
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9.48San Diego State University0.295.1%1st Place
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8.62University of California at Los Angeles0.436.3%1st Place
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6.37University of California at Berkeley0.9810.8%1st Place
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13.63University of California at San Diego-0.582.1%1st Place
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13.03University of California at San Diego-0.513.1%1st Place
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9.18Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.265.1%1st Place
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9.57Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.275.5%1st Place
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13.68California State University Monterey Bay-0.572.1%1st Place
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14.18University of California at Los Angeles-0.722.1%1st Place
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17.53University of California at Davis-1.650.8%1st Place
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17.2University of California at San Diego-1.560.7%1st Place
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12.66Arizona State University-0.412.7%1st Place
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18.97Arizona State University-2.070.5%1st Place
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14.66University of California at Santa Cruz-0.831.7%1st Place
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11.02University of California at San Diego-0.083.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Cornell | 10.0% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Olsen | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Drew Wolf | 10.5% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Boylan | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Holden | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Jonah Brees | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 3.1% |
| Svenja Leonard | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ian Collignon | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Zack Taylor | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 10.8% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Lipps | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 2.4% |
| Andrew Keller | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 1.9% |
| Florence Duff | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Groom | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Sasha Wilson | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 2.2% |
| tess McMullin | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 2.8% |
| Cooper Cook | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 18.2% | 22.7% |
| Yasminna Sanchez | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 12.4% | 17.2% | 18.0% |
| Mitchell Powers | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
| Nicholas Peters | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 10.9% | 16.8% | 39.6% |
| Noam Elroi | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 4.0% |
| Gabriel Reuter | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.