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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida2.68+1.55vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College2.14+1.41vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University2.54-0.22vs Predicted
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4Rollins College1.27+0.62vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.25-1.36vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida2.07-3.56vs Predicted
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8University of Miami-1.88-0.47vs Predicted
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9University of Florida-1.13-1.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.55University of South Florida2.680.3%1st Place
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3.41Eckerd College2.140.2%1st Place
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2.78Jacksonville University2.540.2%1st Place
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4.62Rollins College1.270.1%1st Place
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4.64University of South Florida1.250.1%1st Place
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3.44University of South Florida2.070.2%1st Place
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7.53University of Miami-1.880.0%1st Place
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7.03University of Florida-1.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJ Degen | 31.0% | 25.2% | 17.7% | 13.7% | 9.1% | 3.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Seth Barrows | 15.6% | 17.8% | 18.9% | 19.0% | 16.9% | 10.4% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Ian Ikeda | 24.9% | 22.6% | 21.6% | 16.5% | 10.1% | 3.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ian Nora | 6.3% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 14.8% | 21.6% | 31.2% | 7.1% | 0.4% |
| Dean Nixon | 5.6% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 13.8% | 21.3% | 32.6% | 6.7% | 0.5% |
| Charlie Bess | 15.8% | 16.9% | 18.1% | 19.7% | 17.2% | 10.7% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Schmicker | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 3.3% | 23.9% | 69.4% |
| Angela Skane | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 58.6% | 29.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.