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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
24
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.77+2.17vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.85+3.66vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.87+2.68vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz-0.97+12.63vs Predicted
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5San Diego State University1.59+1.26vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego1.38+2.12vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13+1.25vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley-0.08+4.81vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley0.73+1.36vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles0.32+0.84vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara1.68-4.88vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego0.00+0.60vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles1.48-6.40vs Predicted
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14University of California at Irvine-0.12-0.78vs Predicted
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15California State University Channel Islands-1.06+2.21vs Predicted
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16California State University Monterey Bay0.03-1.20vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Cruz-0.76-1.11vs Predicted
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18California State University Channel Islands-1.50+1.20vs Predicted
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19Arizona State University-1.00-2.11vs Predicted
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20Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.45-1.13vs Predicted
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21Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.14-3.00vs Predicted
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22University of California at San Diego-0.42-7.45vs Predicted
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23University of California at Davis-1.59-3.10vs Predicted
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24University of California at Los Angeles-1.39-5.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.17University of Southern California2.7728.4%1st Place
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5.66University of California at Santa Barbara1.859.9%1st Place
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5.68University of California at Santa Barbara1.879.9%1st Place
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16.63University of California at Santa Cruz-0.970.7%1st Place
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6.26San Diego State University1.598.8%1st Place
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8.12University of California at San Diego1.385.1%1st Place
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8.25Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.134.6%1st Place
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12.81University of California at Berkeley-0.082.2%1st Place
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10.36University of California at Berkeley0.732.1%1st Place
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10.84University of California at Los Angeles0.322.4%1st Place
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6.12University of California at Santa Barbara1.688.5%1st Place
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12.6University of California at San Diego0.002.1%1st Place
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6.6University of California at Los Angeles1.487.8%1st Place
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13.22University of California at Irvine-0.121.1%1st Place
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17.21California State University Channel Islands-1.060.7%1st Place
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14.8California State University Monterey Bay0.031.1%1st Place
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15.89University of California at Santa Cruz-0.760.7%1st Place
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19.2California State University Channel Islands-1.500.2%1st Place
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16.89Arizona State University-1.001.1%1st Place
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18.87Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.450.4%1st Place
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18.0Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.140.5%1st Place
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14.55University of California at San Diego-0.421.1%1st Place
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19.9University of California at Davis-1.590.2%1st Place
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18.35University of California at Los Angeles-1.390.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Hou | 28.4% | 20.5% | 15.8% | 11.8% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lukas Kraak | 9.9% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jake Zieba | 9.9% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Savannah Hallgarth | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.3% |
| Blake Buckner | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luc LaMontagne | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Marshall | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Schuyler Capita | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Bastuba | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amir Tadros | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Kaylena Mann | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 4.6% |
| Caila Devlin | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Tristan Bellevin | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Olivia Feito | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 14.8% | 17.8% |
| Antoine Kepczyk | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 5.2% |
| Jeffrey Romeo | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 12.9% | 16.3% |
| Jack Kelly | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 9.4% |
| Amanda Brooks | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Grace Chitouras | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 15.7% | 24.9% |
| Deven Douglas | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 12.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.