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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College2.14+2.28vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida2.07+1.51vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University2.54-0.23vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida2.68-1.39vs Predicted
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5Rollins College1.27-0.36vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.25-2.38vs Predicted
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8University of Florida-1.13-0.95vs Predicted
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9University of Miami-1.88-1.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.28Eckerd College2.140.2%1st Place
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3.51University of South Florida2.070.1%1st Place
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2.77Jacksonville University2.540.3%1st Place
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2.61University of South Florida2.680.3%1st Place
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4.64Rollins College1.270.1%1st Place
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4.62University of South Florida1.250.1%1st Place
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7.05University of Florida-1.130.0%1st Place
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7.52University of Miami-1.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seth Barrows | 16.7% | 19.6% | 19.2% | 19.5% | 14.7% | 8.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Charlie Bess | 14.3% | 17.2% | 17.7% | 19.7% | 18.0% | 11.7% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Ian Ikeda | 26.6% | 22.0% | 21.0% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 4.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| AJ Degen | 28.9% | 24.7% | 18.5% | 16.2% | 7.6% | 3.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ian Nora | 5.7% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 13.5% | 22.8% | 31.5% | 6.7% | 0.6% |
| Dean Nixon | 6.8% | 6.7% | 11.2% | 15.6% | 20.2% | 32.2% | 6.9% | 0.4% |
| Angela Skane | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 53.0% | 34.3% |
| Katherine Schmicker | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 30.0% | 64.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.