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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley0.98+5.35vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego0.22+7.65vs Predicted
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3San Diego State University0.29+6.37vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-0.51+9.04vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.74+2.47vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley0.98+0.35vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University-0.41+5.71vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles0.94-1.64vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-0.58+4.29vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26-0.48vs Predicted
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11California State University Monterey Bay-0.57+2.77vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-0.08-0.96vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis-0.19-1.38vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.27-4.59vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Cruz-0.83-0.45vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-0.72-1.74vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles0.43-8.16vs Predicted
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18Arizona State University0.74-10.63vs Predicted
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19University of California at Davis-1.65-1.41vs Predicted
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20Arizona State University-2.07-0.99vs Predicted
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21University of California at San Diego-1.56-3.43vs Predicted
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22University of California at Davis-0.58-8.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.35University of California at Berkeley0.9810.7%1st Place
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9.65University of California at San Diego0.225.8%1st Place
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9.37San Diego State University0.294.8%1st Place
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13.04University of California at San Diego-0.512.5%1st Place
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7.47University of California at Berkeley0.748.8%1st Place
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6.35University of California at Berkeley0.9810.8%1st Place
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12.71Arizona State University-0.412.6%1st Place
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6.36University of California at Los Angeles0.9411.2%1st Place
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13.29University of California at San Diego-0.582.3%1st Place
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9.52Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.264.4%1st Place
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13.77California State University Monterey Bay-0.571.9%1st Place
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11.04University of California at San Diego-0.084.0%1st Place
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11.62University of California at Davis-0.193.0%1st Place
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9.41Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.275.5%1st Place
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14.55University of California at Santa Cruz-0.832.0%1st Place
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14.26University of California at Los Angeles-0.721.8%1st Place
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8.84University of California at Los Angeles0.435.1%1st Place
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7.37Arizona State University0.748.8%1st Place
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17.59University of California at Davis-1.650.9%1st Place
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19.01Arizona State University-2.070.5%1st Place
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17.57University of California at San Diego-1.560.5%1st Place
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13.88University of California at Davis-0.582.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Ingebritson | 10.7% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Svenja Leonard | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Ian Collignon | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Keller | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 1.9% |
| Katherine Olsen | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Cornell | 10.8% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Mitchell Powers | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Drew Wolf | 11.2% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Lipps | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 2.1% |
| Florence Duff | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Sasha Wilson | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 2.2% |
| Gabriel Reuter | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Nathaniel Holden | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Samuel Groom | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Noam Elroi | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 4.1% |
| tess McMullin | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 3.4% |
| Zack Taylor | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Boylan | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cooper Cook | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 18.2% | 21.6% |
| Nicholas Peters | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 17.6% | 39.1% |
| Yasminna Sanchez | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 17.9% | 20.1% |
| Jonah Brees | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 2.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.