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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida3.00+0.74vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College2.20+0.56vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.31+0.67vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University0.90+0.23vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.05-0.99vs Predicted
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7Rollins College-0.98-0.50vs Predicted
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8University of Florida-0.36-2.15vs Predicted
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9University of Miami-2.04-1.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.74University of South Florida3.000.5%1st Place
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2.56Eckerd College2.200.2%1st Place
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3.67University of South Florida1.310.1%1st Place
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4.23Jacksonville University0.900.1%1st Place
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4.01University of South Florida1.050.1%1st Place
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6.5Rollins College-0.980.0%1st Place
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5.85University of Florida-0.360.0%1st Place
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7.43University of Miami-2.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Perry | 53.8% | 26.4% | 13.7% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Erik Brydges | 21.8% | 32.1% | 23.1% | 15.4% | 6.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sara Simon | 9.2% | 14.8% | 21.5% | 22.8% | 20.1% | 9.5% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Mara Strobel-Lanka | 5.8% | 9.6% | 14.5% | 23.3% | 25.2% | 16.2% | 4.8% | 0.6% |
| Richard Romer | 6.7% | 11.9% | 18.0% | 22.1% | 23.9% | 13.2% | 3.7% | 0.5% |
| Mitchell Wilkins | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 7.8% | 20.4% | 41.0% | 21.8% |
| Thomas Monson | 1.7% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 12.4% | 33.9% | 27.8% | 9.4% |
| Benjamin Kaminsky | 0.1% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 5.7% | 20.4% | 67.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.