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📊 Prediction Accuracy
34.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
23
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.77+2.16vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.85+3.37vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego1.38+4.83vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.87+1.35vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles1.48+1.48vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara1.68-0.05vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles0.32+3.50vs Predicted
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8San Diego State University1.59-1.77vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-0.42+4.93vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13-1.97vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.45+7.49vs Predicted
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12California State University Monterey Bay0.03+2.29vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Cruz-0.76+2.37vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley0.73-4.11vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego0.00-2.81vs Predicted
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16California State University Channel Islands-1.06+0.26vs Predicted
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17Arizona State University-1.00-0.87vs Predicted
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18University of California at Berkeley-0.08-5.54vs Predicted
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19California State University Channel Islands-1.50-0.75vs Predicted
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20Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.14-2.78vs Predicted
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21University of California at Santa Cruz-0.97-5.02vs Predicted
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22University of California at Davis-1.59-2.99vs Predicted
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23University of California at Los Angeles-1.39-5.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.16University of Southern California2.7726.2%1st Place
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5.37University of California at Santa Barbara1.8510.8%1st Place
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7.83University of California at San Diego1.385.7%1st Place
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5.35University of California at Santa Barbara1.879.8%1st Place
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6.48University of California at Los Angeles1.487.3%1st Place
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5.95University of California at Santa Barbara1.6810.0%1st Place
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10.5University of California at Los Angeles0.322.5%1st Place
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6.23San Diego State University1.598.4%1st Place
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13.93University of California at San Diego-0.421.2%1st Place
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8.03Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.134.9%1st Place
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18.49Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.450.4%1st Place
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14.29California State University Monterey Bay0.030.9%1st Place
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15.37University of California at Santa Cruz-0.760.9%1st Place
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9.89University of California at Berkeley0.732.8%1st Place
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12.19University of California at San Diego0.002.0%1st Place
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16.26California State University Channel Islands-1.061.1%1st Place
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16.13Arizona State University-1.000.9%1st Place
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12.46University of California at Berkeley-0.081.7%1st Place
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18.25California State University Channel Islands-1.500.4%1st Place
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17.22Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.140.5%1st Place
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15.98University of California at Santa Cruz-0.970.7%1st Place
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19.01University of California at Davis-1.590.5%1st Place
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17.6University of California at Los Angeles-1.390.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Hou | 26.2% | 22.8% | 14.8% | 12.6% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lukas Kraak | 10.8% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jake Zieba | 9.8% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Schuyler Capita | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Marshall | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Blake Buckner | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Brooks | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Kai Ponting | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Romeo | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 14.5% | 18.1% |
| Caila Devlin | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Tristan Bellevin | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 2.8% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Bastuba | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Kaylena Mann | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.5% |
| Antoine Kepczyk | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 4.3% |
| Luc LaMontagne | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Olivia Feito | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 15.2% | 16.3% |
| Jack Kelly | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 9.2% |
| Savannah Hallgarth | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 4.3% |
| Grace Chitouras | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 14.5% | 25.4% |
| Deven Douglas | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 11.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.