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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University5.19+5.49vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.42+11.76vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy4.34+7.06vs Predicted
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4Brown University4.49+4.97vs Predicted
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5Yale University4.85+2.57vs Predicted
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6Boston College4.89+1.47vs Predicted
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7Tufts University4.33+2.84vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University3.92+3.46vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont4.60-0.41vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland4.83-2.08vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University4.78-3.02vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida4.10-0.84vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University3.76-1.01vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston4.76-6.31vs Predicted
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15Stanford University3.98-3.75vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College4.15-5.33vs Predicted
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17Harvard University4.52-7.81vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49-9.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.49Georgetown University5.190.1%1st Place
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13.76U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.420.0%1st Place
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10.06U. S. Naval Academy4.340.0%1st Place
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8.97Brown University4.490.1%1st Place
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7.57Yale University4.850.1%1st Place
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7.47Boston College4.890.1%1st Place
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9.84Tufts University4.330.0%1st Place
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11.46Salve Regina University3.920.0%1st Place
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8.59University of Vermont4.600.1%1st Place
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7.92St. Mary's College of Maryland4.830.1%1st Place
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7.98Roger Williams University4.780.1%1st Place
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11.16University of South Florida4.100.0%1st Place
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11.99Old Dominion University3.760.0%1st Place
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7.69College of Charleston4.760.1%1st Place
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11.25Stanford University3.980.0%1st Place
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10.67SUNY Maritime College4.150.0%1st Place
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9.19Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
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8.94Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Buckingham | 9.7% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Gary Herring | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 14.5% | 27.3% |
| Robert Vann | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% |
| Fred Strammer | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.7% |
| Thomas Barrows | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Tyler Sinks | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Tomas Hornos | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 3.3% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 9.4% |
| Clinton Hayes | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Michael Menninger | 8.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Cy Thompson | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% |
| Mitchell Hall | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 8.7% |
| Stephanie Roble | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 13.9% |
| Juan Maegli | 7.9% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Justin Doane | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.5% |
| Shawn Murray | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% |
| Alan Palmer | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.6% |
| Samuel Blouin | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.