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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida3.00+0.74vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University0.90+2.24vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.20-0.43vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.31-0.31vs Predicted
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5Rollins College-0.98+1.54vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.05-2.05vs Predicted
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8University of Florida-0.36-2.15vs Predicted
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9University of Miami-2.04-1.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.74University of South Florida3.000.5%1st Place
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4.24Jacksonville University0.900.1%1st Place
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2.57Eckerd College2.200.2%1st Place
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3.69University of South Florida1.310.1%1st Place
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6.54Rollins College-0.980.0%1st Place
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3.95University of South Florida1.050.1%1st Place
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5.85University of Florida-0.360.0%1st Place
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7.43University of Miami-2.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Perry | 53.0% | 27.8% | 13.2% | 4.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mara Strobel-Lanka | 6.0% | 9.5% | 15.0% | 21.4% | 27.1% | 14.9% | 5.2% | 0.9% |
| Erik Brydges | 22.1% | 31.7% | 23.5% | 14.7% | 6.3% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sara Simon | 8.8% | 15.4% | 20.5% | 22.8% | 20.3% | 10.3% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Mitchell Wilkins | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 6.7% | 21.4% | 41.0% | 22.3% |
| Richard Romer | 7.4% | 10.8% | 20.0% | 23.3% | 21.6% | 13.5% | 3.3% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Monson | 1.7% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 7.9% | 14.1% | 31.1% | 29.5% | 8.7% |
| Benjamin Kaminsky | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 6.9% | 19.2% | 67.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.