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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley0.98+5.30vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego0.22+7.94vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles0.94+3.63vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-0.08+7.27vs Predicted
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5California State University Monterey Bay-0.57+8.87vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis-0.19+5.65vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.58+1.10vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.27+1.58vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley0.98-2.59vs Predicted
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10San Diego State University0.29-0.63vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University0.74-3.63vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26-2.35vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-0.58+0.54vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles0.43-5.33vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-0.51-1.61vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis-0.58-1.84vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles-0.72-2.82vs Predicted
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18Arizona State University-0.41-5.18vs Predicted
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19Arizona State University-2.07+0.25vs Predicted
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20University of California at Davis-1.65-2.04vs Predicted
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21University of California at Santa Cruz-0.83-6.23vs Predicted
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22University of California at San Diego-0.70-7.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.3University of California at Berkeley0.9810.9%1st Place
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9.94University of California at San Diego0.224.4%1st Place
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6.63University of California at Los Angeles0.9410.2%1st Place
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11.27University of California at San Diego-0.083.6%1st Place
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13.87California State University Monterey Bay-0.572.1%1st Place
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11.65University of California at Davis-0.193.4%1st Place
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8.1University of California at Berkeley0.588.1%1st Place
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9.58Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.274.2%1st Place
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6.41University of California at Berkeley0.9810.7%1st Place
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9.37San Diego State University0.295.3%1st Place
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7.37Arizona State University0.748.1%1st Place
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9.65Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.265.0%1st Place
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13.54University of California at San Diego-0.582.5%1st Place
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8.67University of California at Los Angeles0.436.8%1st Place
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13.39University of California at San Diego-0.512.6%1st Place
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14.16University of California at Davis-0.582.1%1st Place
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14.18University of California at Los Angeles-0.722.4%1st Place
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12.82Arizona State University-0.413.2%1st Place
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19.25Arizona State University-2.070.4%1st Place
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17.96University of California at Davis-1.650.5%1st Place
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14.77University of California at Santa Cruz-0.831.8%1st Place
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14.1University of California at San Diego-0.701.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Cornell | 10.9% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Svenja Leonard | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Drew Wolf | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Reuter | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Sasha Wilson | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 3.1% |
| Nathaniel Holden | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Michael McCulloch | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Groom | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 10.7% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Collignon | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Boylan | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Florence Duff | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sean Lipps | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 2.9% |
| Zack Taylor | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Keller | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 2.2% |
| Jonah Brees | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 4.3% |
| tess McMullin | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 4.2% |
| Mitchell Powers | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 1.6% |
| Nicholas Peters | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 8.9% | 15.9% | 45.2% |
| Cooper Cook | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 10.9% | 20.3% | 25.9% |
| Noam Elroi | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 4.8% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 4.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.