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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida3.00+0.75vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College2.20+0.58vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University0.90+0.19vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.05-0.96vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.31-2.32vs Predicted
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7University of Florida-0.36-1.19vs Predicted
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8Rollins College-0.98-1.47vs Predicted
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9University of Miami-2.04-1.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.75University of South Florida3.000.5%1st Place
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2.58Eckerd College2.200.2%1st Place
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4.19Jacksonville University0.900.1%1st Place
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4.04University of South Florida1.050.1%1st Place
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3.68University of South Florida1.310.1%1st Place
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5.81University of Florida-0.360.0%1st Place
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6.53Rollins College-0.980.0%1st Place
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7.41University of Miami-2.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Perry | 53.7% | 26.2% | 13.3% | 5.4% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Brydges | 21.6% | 30.8% | 24.4% | 15.4% | 6.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mara Strobel-Lanka | 6.7% | 10.5% | 15.0% | 20.8% | 25.3% | 15.6% | 5.4% | 0.7% |
| Richard Romer | 6.7% | 11.6% | 17.2% | 22.3% | 25.0% | 12.5% | 4.2% | 0.5% |
| Sara Simon | 8.4% | 15.6% | 21.7% | 24.1% | 17.3% | 10.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Thomas Monson | 1.7% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 15.0% | 33.2% | 26.2% | 9.3% |
| Mitchell Wilkins | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 20.6% | 40.1% | 23.3% |
| Benjamin Kaminsky | 0.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 6.2% | 22.2% | 65.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.