← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1California State University Monterey Bay-0.57+13.13vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Berkeley0.98+4.72vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Los Angeles0.94+3.73vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Davis-0.19+7.70vs Predicted
-
5San Diego State University0.29+4.59vs Predicted
-
6University of California at San Diego0.22+3.61vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Berkeley0.74+0.45vs Predicted
-
8University of California at San Diego-0.08+3.64vs Predicted
-
9Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26+0.61vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Santa Cruz-0.83+5.03vs Predicted
-
11Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.27-1.21vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Berkeley0.98-5.41vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Los Angeles-0.72+1.46vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Los Angeles0.43-5.30vs Predicted
-
15University of California at San Diego-0.70-0.66vs Predicted
-
16University of California at San Diego-0.58-2.23vs Predicted
-
17Arizona State University-1.57+0.61vs Predicted
-
18University of California at Davis-0.58-3.97vs Predicted
-
19Arizona State University0.74-11.46vs Predicted
-
20University of California at Davis-1.65-2.03vs Predicted
-
21University of California at San Diego-0.51-7.73vs Predicted
-
22Arizona State University-0.41-9.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
14.13California State University Monterey Bay-0.572.3%1st Place
-
6.72University of California at Berkeley0.9810.2%1st Place
-
6.73University of California at Los Angeles0.949.7%1st Place
-
11.7University of California at Davis-0.192.9%1st Place
-
9.59San Diego State University0.295.5%1st Place
-
9.61University of California at San Diego0.225.5%1st Place
-
7.45University of California at Berkeley0.749.3%1st Place
-
11.64University of California at San Diego-0.083.2%1st Place
-
9.61Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.265.1%1st Place
-
15.03University of California at Santa Cruz-0.831.2%1st Place
-
9.79Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.274.2%1st Place
-
6.59University of California at Berkeley0.9810.0%1st Place
-
14.46University of California at Los Angeles-0.721.9%1st Place
-
8.7University of California at Los Angeles0.437.7%1st Place
-
14.34University of California at San Diego-0.701.8%1st Place
-
13.77University of California at San Diego-0.582.8%1st Place
-
17.61Arizona State University-1.570.9%1st Place
-
14.03University of California at Davis-0.581.9%1st Place
-
7.54Arizona State University0.748.0%1st Place
-
17.97University of California at Davis-1.650.6%1st Place
-
13.27University of California at San Diego-0.512.5%1st Place
-
12.72Arizona State University-0.412.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sasha Wilson | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 5.3% |
| Will Cornell | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drew Wolf | 9.7% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Holden | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Ian Collignon | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Svenja Leonard | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Katherine Olsen | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Reuter | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Florence Duff | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Noam Elroi | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 7.6% |
| Samuel Groom | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 10.0% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| tess McMullin | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 6.2% |
| Zack Taylor | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 5.5% |
| Sean Lipps | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 3.9% |
| Calum Merry | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 13.9% | 27.6% |
| Jonah Brees | 1.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 4.7% |
| Aidan Boylan | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Cooper Cook | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 15.8% | 29.8% |
| Andrew Keller | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 3.0% |
| Mitchell Powers | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 2.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.