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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida3.00+0.75vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.05+2.01vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.20-0.47vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.31-0.34vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University0.90-0.75vs Predicted
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6Rollins College-0.98+0.52vs Predicted
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8University of Florida-0.36-2.14vs Predicted
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9University of Miami-2.04-1.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.75University of South Florida3.000.5%1st Place
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4.01University of South Florida1.050.1%1st Place
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2.53Eckerd College2.200.2%1st Place
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3.66University of South Florida1.310.1%1st Place
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4.25Jacksonville University0.900.1%1st Place
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6.52Rollins College-0.980.0%1st Place
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5.86University of Florida-0.360.0%1st Place
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7.42University of Miami-2.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Perry | 53.2% | 27.1% | 13.3% | 5.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Richard Romer | 6.9% | 10.8% | 18.0% | 24.2% | 23.4% | 12.5% | 3.8% | 0.4% |
| Erik Brydges | 22.8% | 32.3% | 23.1% | 14.8% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sara Simon | 8.7% | 16.4% | 20.3% | 23.6% | 20.1% | 8.2% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Mara Strobel-Lanka | 5.7% | 8.8% | 15.6% | 21.6% | 26.3% | 17.1% | 4.3% | 0.6% |
| Mitchell Wilkins | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 7.6% | 20.7% | 41.7% | 21.6% |
| Thomas Monson | 1.7% | 2.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 13.9% | 33.3% | 27.8% | 9.4% |
| Benjamin Kaminsky | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 6.4% | 19.7% | 67.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.