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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.88+8.65vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+9.43vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.71+3.31vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.74+1.96vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+6.56vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.84-0.38vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.18+1.24vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.71+2.17vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University2.97+0.04vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.67+0.67vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.75-0.77vs Predicted
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12Fordham University2.61-0.88vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.32-1.31vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University2.74-4.18vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.58-4.23vs Predicted
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16Cornell University2.85-6.29vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93-7.56vs Predicted
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18Brown University2.82-8.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.65U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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11.43St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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6.31College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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5.96Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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11.56U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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5.62University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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8.24Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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10.17Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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9.04Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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10.67George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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10.23Connecticut College2.750.1%1st Place
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11.12Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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11.69Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
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9.82Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
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10.77Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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9.71Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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9.44Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.1%1st Place
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9.56Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marissa Lihan | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.1% |
| Marissa Golison | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 10.3% |
| Clerc Cooper | 9.9% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Marlena Fauer | 12.0% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% |
| Devon Rohde | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 14.2% |
| Rachel Bryer | 12.8% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% |
| Annie Schmidt | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 5.8% |
| Andrea Luna | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.6% |
| Hannah McNomee | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 6.1% |
| Liz Dubovik | 5.3% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 9.1% |
| Margaret Bacon | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 14.2% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 4.9% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.1% |
| Sky Adams | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.