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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.74+5.24vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.97+7.39vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+8.95vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.18+4.12vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.71+1.08vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.85+3.70vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.61+3.65vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.58+2.66vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.84-3.48vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.74+0.38vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.71-0.61vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50-0.48vs Predicted
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13George Washington University2.67-2.76vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93-5.02vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.32-3.17vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.75-5.85vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy2.88-7.39vs Predicted
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18Brown University2.82-8.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.24Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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9.39Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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11.95U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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8.12Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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6.08College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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9.7Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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10.65Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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10.66Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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5.52University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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10.38Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
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10.39Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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11.52St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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10.24George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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8.98Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.1%1st Place
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11.83Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
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10.15Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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9.61U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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9.58Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marlena Fauer | 10.2% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Andrea Luna | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.0% |
| Devon Rohde | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 12.4% | 12.6% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.9% |
| Clerc Cooper | 11.9% | 12.7% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 4.1% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% |
| Rachel Bryer | 13.0% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 5.4% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% |
| Annie Schmidt | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% |
| Marissa Golison | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 12.7% |
| Hannah McNomee | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.3% |
| Margaret Bacon | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 13.4% |
| Liz Dubovik | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% |
| Marissa Lihan | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% |
| Sky Adams | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.