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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.58+9.96vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+9.92vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.71+3.31vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.75+5.99vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.88+4.44vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.84-0.34vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.74-1.01vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.85+1.50vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University2.97+0.08vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+1.45vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.32+0.95vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93-2.32vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University2.74-3.06vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.18-6.05vs Predicted
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15George Washington University2.67-4.63vs Predicted
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16Brown University2.82-6.14vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University2.71-6.57vs Predicted
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18Fordham University2.61-7.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.96Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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11.92U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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6.31College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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9.99Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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9.44U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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5.66University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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5.99Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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9.5Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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9.08Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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11.45St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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11.95Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
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9.68Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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9.94Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
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7.95Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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10.37George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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9.86Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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10.43Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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10.51Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 10.3% | 9.2% |
| Devon Rohde | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 12.0% |
| Clerc Cooper | 9.7% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Liz Dubovik | 4.6% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% |
| Marissa Lihan | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% |
| Rachel Bryer | 13.5% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Marlena Fauer | 11.2% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.7% |
| Andrea Luna | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% |
| Marissa Golison | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 10.7% |
| Margaret Bacon | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 15.2% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.8% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Hannah McNomee | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% |
| Sky Adams | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% |
| Annie Schmidt | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.1% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.