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📊 Prediction Accuracy
24.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.85+5.41vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.68+4.89vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13+6.17vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.87+2.20vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego1.38+4.04vs Predicted
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6San Diego State University1.59+1.23vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy1.89-0.35vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles0.32+4.02vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-0.42+6.67vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles1.48-2.53vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley-0.08+2.70vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego0.00+1.75vs Predicted
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13California Poly Maritime Academy1.62-5.89vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley0.73-2.73vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.45+4.86vs Predicted
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16California State University Monterey Bay0.03-0.07vs Predicted
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17California State University Channel Islands-1.50+2.98vs Predicted
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18University of Southern California2.77-14.38vs Predicted
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19California State University Channel Islands-1.06-1.30vs Predicted
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20University of California at Santa Cruz-0.97-2.65vs Predicted
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21University of California at Los Angeles-1.39-1.78vs Predicted
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22Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.14-3.38vs Predicted
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23University of California at Davis-1.59-2.46vs Predicted
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24University of California at Santa Cruz-0.76-7.23vs Predicted
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25Arizona State University-2.69-2.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.41University of California at Santa Barbara1.858.8%1st Place
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6.89University of California at Santa Barbara1.688.3%1st Place
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9.17Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.133.7%1st Place
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6.2University of California at Santa Barbara1.8710.5%1st Place
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9.04University of California at San Diego1.384.3%1st Place
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7.23San Diego State University1.596.3%1st Place
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6.65California Poly Maritime Academy1.898.5%1st Place
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12.02University of California at Los Angeles0.321.9%1st Place
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15.67University of California at San Diego-0.420.7%1st Place
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7.47University of California at Los Angeles1.486.8%1st Place
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13.7University of California at Berkeley-0.081.7%1st Place
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13.75University of California at San Diego0.001.2%1st Place
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7.11California Poly Maritime Academy1.626.2%1st Place
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11.27University of California at Berkeley0.732.4%1st Place
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19.86Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.450.2%1st Place
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15.93California State University Monterey Bay0.030.9%1st Place
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19.98California State University Channel Islands-1.500.4%1st Place
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3.62University of Southern California2.7724.3%1st Place
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17.7California State University Channel Islands-1.060.4%1st Place
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17.35University of California at Santa Cruz-0.970.7%1st Place
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19.22University of California at Los Angeles-1.390.4%1st Place
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18.62Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.140.4%1st Place
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20.54University of California at Davis-1.590.1%1st Place
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16.77University of California at Santa Cruz-0.760.7%1st Place
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22.8Arizona State University-2.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lukas Kraak | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Schuyler Capita | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jake Zieba | 10.5% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Buckner | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Marshall | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Brooks | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luc LaMontagne | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Bastuba | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Clay Myers | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Romeo | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 13.3% | 14.1% | 9.2% |
| Caila Devlin | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Olivia Feito | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 13.4% | 10.7% |
| Joseph Hou | 24.3% | 17.2% | 15.4% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kaylena Mann | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 2.6% |
| Savannah Hallgarth | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 1.8% |
| Deven Douglas | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 5.7% |
| Jack Kelly | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 4.9% |
| Grace Chitouras | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 14.0% | 17.3% | 15.2% |
| Tristan Bellevin | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Ciara Harding | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 15.1% | 47.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.