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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+10.33vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.82+8.05vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.58+8.06vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.74+6.02vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.84+0.65vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.88+3.48vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+2.24vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.71+2.23vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.75+1.06vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.71-3.74vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.74-4.93vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University2.97-2.57vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.85-3.48vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.32-2.43vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College3.18-6.83vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-4.25vs Predicted
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17Fordham University2.61-6.14vs Predicted
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18George Washington University2.67-7.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.33St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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10.05Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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11.06Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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10.02Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
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5.65University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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9.48U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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9.24Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.1%1st Place
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10.23Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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10.06Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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6.26College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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6.07Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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9.43Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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9.52Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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11.57Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
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8.17Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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11.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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10.86Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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10.25George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marissa Golison | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 11.5% |
| Sky Adams | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.2% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.8% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 4.4% | 3.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% |
| Rachel Bryer | 14.3% | 13.1% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Marissa Lihan | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.1% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% |
| Annie Schmidt | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 5.3% |
| Liz Dubovik | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% |
| Clerc Cooper | 11.8% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Marlena Fauer | 10.9% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Andrea Luna | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% |
| Margaret Bacon | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 13.0% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% |
| Devon Rohde | 3.0% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 13.4% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% |
| Hannah McNomee | 4.1% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.