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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
23
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley0.98+6.19vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley0.74+6.09vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles0.94+4.29vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-0.08+8.13vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.98+2.08vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego0.22+4.60vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy1.20-0.97vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University0.74+0.15vs Predicted
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9California State University Monterey Bay-0.57+5.97vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis-0.19+2.60vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-0.58+3.68vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26-1.69vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles0.43-3.43vs Predicted
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14San Diego State University0.29-3.96vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-0.51-1.00vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.27-5.54vs Predicted
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17University of California at Davis-0.58-2.02vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-0.70-2.80vs Predicted
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19Arizona State University-1.57-0.08vs Predicted
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20University of California at Davis-1.65-1.18vs Predicted
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21University of California at Santa Cruz-0.83-5.12vs Predicted
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22University of California at Los Angeles-0.72-6.84vs Predicted
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23Arizona State University-0.41-9.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.19University of California at Berkeley0.987.6%1st Place
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8.09University of California at Berkeley0.748.0%1st Place
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7.29University of California at Los Angeles0.949.2%1st Place
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12.13University of California at San Diego-0.083.0%1st Place
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7.08University of California at Berkeley0.9810.4%1st Place
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10.6University of California at San Diego0.224.3%1st Place
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6.03California Poly Maritime Academy1.2011.5%1st Place
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8.15Arizona State University0.748.2%1st Place
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14.97California State University Monterey Bay-0.572.0%1st Place
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12.6University of California at Davis-0.192.5%1st Place
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14.68University of California at San Diego-0.581.5%1st Place
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10.31Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.265.1%1st Place
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9.57University of California at Los Angeles0.436.0%1st Place
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10.04San Diego State University0.294.9%1st Place
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14.0University of California at San Diego-0.513.0%1st Place
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10.46Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.273.4%1st Place
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14.98University of California at Davis-0.581.8%1st Place
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15.2University of California at San Diego-0.701.9%1st Place
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18.92Arizona State University-1.570.3%1st Place
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18.82University of California at Davis-1.650.9%1st Place
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15.88University of California at Santa Cruz-0.831.2%1st Place
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15.16University of California at Los Angeles-0.721.4%1st Place
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13.84Arizona State University-0.411.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
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Will Cornell | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Katherine Olsen | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Drew Wolf | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Gabriel Reuter | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
Nate Ingebritson | 10.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
Svenja Leonard | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
Ryan Downey | 11.5% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Aidan Boylan | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Sasha Wilson | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.6% |
Nathaniel Holden | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
Sean Lipps | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 3.2% |
Florence Duff | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
Zack Taylor | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Ian Collignon | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
Andrew Keller | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 2.8% |
Samuel Groom | 3.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
Jonah Brees | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 5.2% |
Audra Spokas-jaros | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 4.5% |
Calum Merry | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 16.1% | 29.6% |
Cooper Cook | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 14.6% | 31.5% |
Noam Elroi | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 6.2% |
tess McMullin | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 5.7% |
Mitchell Powers | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.