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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.58+10.00vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.84+3.79vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.75+7.33vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.18+4.16vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.82+4.66vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.61+4.71vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.74-0.97vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.85+1.52vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.74+1.14vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+1.91vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.71-4.71vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.32+0.23vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50-2.04vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University2.97-5.23vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.71-4.76vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93-6.64vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy2.88-7.35vs Predicted
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18George Washington University2.67-7.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.0Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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5.79University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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10.33Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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8.16Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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9.66Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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10.71Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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6.03Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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9.52Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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10.14Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
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11.91U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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6.29College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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12.23Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
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10.96St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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8.77Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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10.24Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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9.36Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.1%1st Place
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9.65U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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10.24George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 4.0% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.3% |
| Rachel Bryer | 10.2% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Liz Dubovik | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% |
| Sky Adams | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.6% |
| Marlena Fauer | 11.5% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.5% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% |
| Devon Rohde | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 12.4% | 12.6% |
| Clerc Cooper | 11.3% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Margaret Bacon | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 12.8% | 15.8% |
| Marissa Golison | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 9.9% |
| Andrea Luna | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 2.6% |
| Annie Schmidt | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.6% |
| Marissa Lihan | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.3% |
| Hannah McNomee | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.