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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz-1.07+10.94vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego0.41+3.95vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley0.35+3.14vs Predicted
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4University of California at Davis0.07+3.25vs Predicted
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5California State University Monterey Bay-0.72+5.44vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-0.15+2.16vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego0.52-1.51vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles-0.03-0.28vs Predicted
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9San Diego State University-1.27+4.06vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University-0.39-0.85vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles0.11-3.87vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.67+2.88vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-1.72+1.93vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles-1.43-0.36vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-1.46-1.23vs Predicted
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16University of California at Berkeley-0.25-7.44vs Predicted
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17University of California at Berkeley-0.40-7.83vs Predicted
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18Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.57-3.68vs Predicted
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19Arizona State University-2.90-0.16vs Predicted
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20University of California at Davis-2.20-3.23vs Predicted
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21Arizona State University-2.29-4.33vs Predicted
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22University of California at Davis-3.03-2.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.94University of California at Santa Cruz-1.072.6%1st Place
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5.95University of California at San Diego0.4111.5%1st Place
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6.14University of California at Berkeley0.3510.3%1st Place
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7.25University of California at Davis0.077.8%1st Place
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10.44California State University Monterey Bay-0.724.7%1st Place
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8.16University of California at San Diego-0.155.9%1st Place
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5.49University of California at San Diego0.5213.1%1st Place
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7.72University of California at Los Angeles-0.037.8%1st Place
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13.06San Diego State University-1.271.9%1st Place
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9.15Arizona State University-0.395.3%1st Place
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7.13University of California at Los Angeles0.118.2%1st Place
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14.88Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.671.4%1st Place
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14.93University of California at San Diego-1.721.4%1st Place
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13.64University of California at Los Angeles-1.431.4%1st Place
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13.77University of California at San Diego-1.461.6%1st Place
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8.56University of California at Berkeley-0.255.6%1st Place
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9.17University of California at Berkeley-0.404.9%1st Place
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14.32Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.571.6%1st Place
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18.84Arizona State University-2.900.4%1st Place
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16.77University of California at Davis-2.201.2%1st Place
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16.67Arizona State University-2.291.0%1st Place
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19.02University of California at Davis-3.030.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Priyah Koren | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Vivin Vinil | 11.5% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Enzo Cremers | 10.3% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Braedon Hansen | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Graves | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Tobie Bloom | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Alexander | 13.1% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Spector | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tegan Smith | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Linnea Jackson | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adriana Yarkin | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 2.8% |
| Michael Nodini | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 3.5% |
| Christopher Milan | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 1.2% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aivan Durfee | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Quick | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 2.5% |
| Corbin Stanley | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 12.7% | 18.4% | 30.3% |
| Alexander Lewald | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 13.0% | 14.5% | 10.9% |
| Stian Klype | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 13.8% | 14.1% | 10.3% |
| cecilia rothman-salado | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 11.1% | 19.2% | 35.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.