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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.71+5.35vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.74+4.13vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.88+6.79vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.82+5.65vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+6.51vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.61+4.75vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.97+2.08vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+1.23vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.58+1.84vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.85-0.12vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.84-5.29vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.75-1.55vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.71-2.85vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University2.74-4.23vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College3.18-6.84vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50-4.75vs Predicted
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17George Washington University2.67-6.45vs Predicted
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18Tufts University2.32-6.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.35College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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6.13Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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9.79U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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9.65Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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11.51U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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10.75Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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9.08Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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9.23Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.1%1st Place
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10.84Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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9.88Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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5.71University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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10.45Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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10.15Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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9.77Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
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8.16Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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11.25St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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10.55George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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11.72Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clerc Cooper | 10.4% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Marlena Fauer | 9.7% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Marissa Lihan | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.6% |
| Sky Adams | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.8% |
| Devon Rohde | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 13.0% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 4.5% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 9.1% |
| Andrea Luna | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.1% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.2% |
| Rachel Bryer | 13.0% | 12.7% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Liz Dubovik | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.7% |
| Annie Schmidt | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 7.0% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% |
| Marissa Golison | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 10.4% |
| Hannah McNomee | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.7% |
| Margaret Bacon | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 12.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.