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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University5.19+5.48vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.85+5.82vs Predicted
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3Tufts University4.33+7.11vs Predicted
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4Harvard University4.52+4.94vs Predicted
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5Boston College4.89+2.42vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida4.10+4.81vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland4.83+0.66vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University3.92+3.43vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University3.76+3.21vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont4.60-1.11vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy4.34-1.13vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College4.15-1.04vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University4.78-5.24vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston4.76-6.35vs Predicted
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15Stanford University3.98-3.76vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49-6.81vs Predicted
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17Brown University4.49-7.78vs Predicted
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18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.42-4.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.48Georgetown University5.190.1%1st Place
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7.82Yale University4.850.1%1st Place
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10.11Tufts University4.330.0%1st Place
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8.94Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
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7.42Boston College4.890.1%1st Place
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10.81University of South Florida4.100.0%1st Place
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7.66St. Mary's College of Maryland4.830.1%1st Place
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11.43Salve Regina University3.920.0%1st Place
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12.21Old Dominion University3.760.0%1st Place
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8.89University of Vermont4.600.1%1st Place
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9.87U. S. Naval Academy4.340.1%1st Place
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10.96SUNY Maritime College4.150.0%1st Place
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7.76Roger Williams University4.780.1%1st Place
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7.65College of Charleston4.760.1%1st Place
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11.24Stanford University3.980.0%1st Place
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9.19Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.0%1st Place
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9.22Brown University4.490.1%1st Place
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13.34U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Buckingham | 9.7% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Barrows | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Tomas Hornos | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% |
| Alan Palmer | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 2.7% |
| Tyler Sinks | 8.7% | 10.0% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Mitchell Hall | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.8% |
| Michael Menninger | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 10.6% |
| Stephanie Roble | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 13.8% |
| Clinton Hayes | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.2% |
| Robert Vann | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% |
| Shawn Murray | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 8.1% |
| Cy Thompson | 8.1% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Juan Maegli | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Justin Doane | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.9% |
| Samuel Blouin | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 2.8% |
| Fred Strammer | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% |
| Gary Herring | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 25.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.