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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego0.52+4.27vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles-0.03+5.27vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego-0.15+4.87vs Predicted
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4University of California at Davis0.07+3.03vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego0.41+0.71vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley0.35-0.08vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.57+6.90vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz-1.07+3.60vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-1.46+4.00vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University-0.39-1.38vs Predicted
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11California State University Monterey Bay-0.72-0.97vs Predicted
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12San Diego State University-1.27+0.44vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-1.72+1.49vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles-1.43-0.89vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis-2.20+1.36vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles0.11-9.31vs Predicted
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17University of California at Berkeley-0.40-8.30vs Predicted
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18Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.67-3.86vs Predicted
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19University of California at Berkeley-2.41-2.09vs Predicted
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20Arizona State University-2.90-1.50vs Predicted
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21Arizona State University-2.29-4.40vs Predicted
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22University of California at Davis-3.03-3.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.27University of California at San Diego0.5212.8%1st Place
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7.27University of California at Los Angeles-0.037.5%1st Place
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7.87University of California at San Diego-0.156.5%1st Place
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7.03University of California at Davis0.077.8%1st Place
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5.71University of California at San Diego0.4112.4%1st Place
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5.92University of California at Berkeley0.3511.2%1st Place
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13.9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.571.3%1st Place
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11.6University of California at Santa Cruz-1.072.8%1st Place
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13.0University of California at San Diego-1.461.8%1st Place
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8.62Arizona State University-0.395.9%1st Place
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10.03California State University Monterey Bay-0.724.0%1st Place
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12.44San Diego State University-1.272.1%1st Place
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14.49University of California at San Diego-1.721.1%1st Place
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13.11University of California at Los Angeles-1.432.1%1st Place
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16.36University of California at Davis-2.200.9%1st Place
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6.69University of California at Los Angeles0.119.4%1st Place
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8.7University of California at Berkeley-0.406.5%1st Place
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14.14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.671.5%1st Place
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16.91University of California at Berkeley-2.410.9%1st Place
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18.5Arizona State University-2.900.3%1st Place
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16.6Arizona State University-2.290.9%1st Place
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18.83University of California at Davis-3.030.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Alexander | 12.8% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Spector | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tobie Bloom | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Braedon Hansen | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vivin Vinil | 12.4% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Enzo Cremers | 11.2% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Quick | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Priyah Koren | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Graves | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Tegan Smith | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Michael Nodini | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 2.2% |
| Christopher Milan | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 0.7% |
| Alexander Lewald | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 9.0% |
| Linnea Jackson | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aivan Durfee | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adriana Yarkin | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.4% |
| John Cornet | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 13.6% | 13.7% | 12.0% |
| Corbin Stanley | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 19.1% | 26.2% |
| Stian Klype | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 11.1% |
| cecilia rothman-salado | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 17.8% | 33.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.