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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.18+7.48vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.97+7.38vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.75+7.28vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.84+1.61vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.82+4.63vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.88+3.49vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.58+3.80vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+3.56vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.67+1.37vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.71+0.48vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.71-4.73vs Predicted
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12Fordham University2.61-0.98vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.74-7.11vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50-3.14vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University2.74-4.92vs Predicted
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16Cornell University2.85-6.29vs Predicted
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17Tufts University2.32-4.97vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93-8.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.48Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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9.38Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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10.28Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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5.61University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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9.63Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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9.49U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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10.8Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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11.56U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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10.37George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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10.48Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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6.27College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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11.02Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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5.89Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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10.86St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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10.08Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
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9.71Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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12.03Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
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9.07Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Wheeler | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 2.0% |
| Andrea Luna | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.0% |
| Liz Dubovik | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.9% |
| Rachel Bryer | 13.8% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Sky Adams | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% |
| Marissa Lihan | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% |
| Devon Rohde | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 10.6% | 12.3% |
| Hannah McNomee | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% |
| Annie Schmidt | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% |
| Clerc Cooper | 10.6% | 12.5% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.3% |
| Marlena Fauer | 11.7% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Marissa Golison | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 10.5% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.9% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.2% |
| Margaret Bacon | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 15.6% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.