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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.71+5.36vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.84+3.78vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.18+5.45vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.74+6.03vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.75+4.99vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.97+3.14vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+2.18vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.82+1.68vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.58+1.85vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.88-0.20vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.67-0.41vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.32+0.23vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.85-3.47vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-2.73vs Predicted
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15Yale University3.74-9.05vs Predicted
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16Fordham University2.61-5.22vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50-5.74vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University2.71-7.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.36College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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5.78University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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8.45Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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10.03Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
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9.99Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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9.14Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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9.18Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.1%1st Place
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9.68Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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10.85Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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9.8U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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10.59George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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12.23Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
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9.53Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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11.27U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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5.95Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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10.78Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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11.26St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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10.11Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clerc Cooper | 10.5% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Bryer | 10.2% | 13.2% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.3% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% |
| Liz Dubovik | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% |
| Andrea Luna | 5.9% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% |
| Sky Adams | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% |
| Marissa Lihan | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.8% |
| Hannah McNomee | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% |
| Margaret Bacon | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 16.9% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.0% |
| Devon Rohde | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 11.3% |
| Marlena Fauer | 11.7% | 12.8% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% |
| Marissa Golison | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 9.2% |
| Annie Schmidt | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.