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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
5.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.88+8.68vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.75+8.32vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.32+9.13vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.85+5.50vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.58+5.69vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+5.14vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+4.63vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.84-2.44vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.18-0.80vs Predicted
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10Fordham University2.61+0.99vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93-1.56vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.74-5.63vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston3.71-7.02vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University2.74-4.20vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University2.97-5.93vs Predicted
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16Brown University2.82-6.17vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University2.71-6.59vs Predicted
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18George Washington University2.67-7.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.68U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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10.32Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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12.13Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
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9.5Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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10.69Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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11.14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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11.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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5.56University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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8.2Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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10.99Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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9.44Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.1%1st Place
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6.37Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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5.98College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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9.8Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
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9.07Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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9.83Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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10.41Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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10.24George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marissa Lihan | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.6% |
| Liz Dubovik | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% |
| Margaret Bacon | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 11.9% | 13.8% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.2% |
| Marissa Golison | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 10.9% |
| Devon Rohde | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 11.3% |
| Rachel Bryer | 13.4% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.1% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% |
| Marlena Fauer | 10.5% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Clerc Cooper | 11.8% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% |
| Andrea Luna | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.4% |
| Sky Adams | 3.9% | 3.4% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% |
| Annie Schmidt | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% |
| Hannah McNomee | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.