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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley0.35+5.15vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego0.52+3.52vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego0.41+2.86vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-0.15+4.15vs Predicted
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5University of California at Davis0.07+2.32vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles0.11+1.09vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles-0.03+0.69vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.67+6.87vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-1.72+6.00vs Predicted
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10California State University Monterey Bay-0.72+0.64vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis-2.20+5.86vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles-1.43+1.76vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University-1.76+2.24vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Cruz-1.07-2.20vs Predicted
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15University of California at Berkeley-0.63-4.84vs Predicted
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16San Diego State University-1.27-3.11vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.57-2.60vs Predicted
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18Arizona State University-0.39-8.77vs Predicted
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19University of California at Berkeley-0.25-10.51vs Predicted
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20University of California at San Diego-1.46-6.16vs Predicted
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21University of California at Davis-3.03-1.74vs Predicted
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22Arizona State University-2.90-3.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.15University of California at Berkeley0.3511.1%1st Place
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5.52University of California at San Diego0.5212.6%1st Place
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5.86University of California at San Diego0.4111.7%1st Place
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8.15University of California at San Diego-0.156.9%1st Place
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7.32University of California at Davis0.077.6%1st Place
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7.09University of California at Los Angeles0.118.8%1st Place
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7.69University of California at Los Angeles-0.037.2%1st Place
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14.87Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.671.1%1st Place
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15.0University of California at San Diego-1.721.4%1st Place
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10.64California State University Monterey Bay-0.723.6%1st Place
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16.86University of California at Davis-2.200.8%1st Place
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13.76University of California at Los Angeles-1.431.9%1st Place
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15.24Arizona State University-1.760.9%1st Place
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11.8University of California at Santa Cruz-1.073.8%1st Place
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10.16University of California at Berkeley-0.633.8%1st Place
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12.89San Diego State University-1.272.8%1st Place
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14.4Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.571.2%1st Place
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9.23Arizona State University-0.395.1%1st Place
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8.49University of California at Berkeley-0.255.9%1st Place
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13.84University of California at San Diego-1.461.7%1st Place
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19.26University of California at Davis-3.030.1%1st Place
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18.8Arizona State University-2.900.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enzo Cremers | 11.1% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Alexander | 12.6% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vivin Vinil | 11.7% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tobie Bloom | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Braedon Hansen | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Linnea Jackson | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Spector | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adriana Yarkin | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 6.9% | 2.5% |
| Michael Nodini | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 3.4% |
| Max Graves | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Lewald | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 14.0% | 15.4% | 10.8% |
| Christopher Milan | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 1.6% |
| Daniel Childress | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 4.8% |
| Priyah Koren | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Max Lawall | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Tegan Smith | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Timothy Quick | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 2.2% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| cecilia rothman-salado | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 19.1% | 38.6% |
| Corbin Stanley | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 19.0% | 32.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.