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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University2.97+8.32vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.61+8.98vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.74+3.13vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.18+4.14vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.67+5.36vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.32+5.89vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.88+2.50vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.74+2.08vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.82+0.73vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.84-4.17vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.75-0.78vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.85-1.97vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.58-2.37vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93-5.06vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.71-4.77vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-4.28vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston3.71-10.70vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50-7.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.32Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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10.98Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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6.13Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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8.14Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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10.36George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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11.89Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
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9.5U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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10.08Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
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9.73Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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5.83University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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10.22Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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10.03Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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10.63Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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8.94Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.1%1st Place
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10.23Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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11.72U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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6.3College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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10.96St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrea Luna | 4.7% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.5% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% |
| Marlena Fauer | 10.3% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.1% |
| Hannah McNomee | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% |
| Margaret Bacon | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 14.7% |
| Marissa Lihan | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.5% |
| Sky Adams | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% |
| Rachel Bryer | 12.2% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Liz Dubovik | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% |
| Annie Schmidt | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.3% |
| Devon Rohde | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 14.1% |
| Clerc Cooper | 12.7% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Marissa Golison | 3.9% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.