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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley0.35+5.33vs Predicted
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2University of California at Davis0.07+5.18vs Predicted
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3San Diego State University-1.27+9.96vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego0.41+1.97vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-1.46+8.88vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego0.52-0.44vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles-0.03+0.58vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles0.11-0.92vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-0.15-0.76vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University-1.76+5.02vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley-0.63-0.82vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley-0.25-3.66vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.67+1.74vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University-0.39-5.02vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.57-0.65vs Predicted
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16California State University Monterey Bay-0.72-5.50vs Predicted
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17University of California at Davis-2.20+0.02vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Cruz-1.07-5.67vs Predicted
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19University of California at Davis-3.03+0.21vs Predicted
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20University of California at San Diego-1.72-5.24vs Predicted
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21Arizona State University-2.90-2.07vs Predicted
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22University of California at Los Angeles-1.43-8.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.33University of California at Berkeley0.3510.5%1st Place
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7.18University of California at Davis0.078.1%1st Place
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12.96San Diego State University-1.272.1%1st Place
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5.97University of California at San Diego0.4111.8%1st Place
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13.88University of California at San Diego-1.461.8%1st Place
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5.56University of California at San Diego0.5213.1%1st Place
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7.58University of California at Los Angeles-0.037.2%1st Place
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7.08University of California at Los Angeles0.117.7%1st Place
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8.24University of California at San Diego-0.156.2%1st Place
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15.02Arizona State University-1.761.1%1st Place
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10.18University of California at Berkeley-0.634.3%1st Place
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8.34University of California at Berkeley-0.256.4%1st Place
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14.74Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.671.2%1st Place
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8.98Arizona State University-0.396.2%1st Place
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14.35Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.571.8%1st Place
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10.5California State University Monterey Bay-0.723.5%1st Place
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17.02University of California at Davis-2.200.8%1st Place
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12.33University of California at Santa Cruz-1.072.5%1st Place
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19.21University of California at Davis-3.030.4%1st Place
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14.76University of California at San Diego-1.721.3%1st Place
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18.93Arizona State University-2.900.4%1st Place
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13.88University of California at Los Angeles-1.431.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enzo Cremers | 10.5% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Braedon Hansen | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tegan Smith | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Vivin Vinil | 11.8% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 1.9% |
| John Alexander | 13.1% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Spector | 7.2% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Linnea Jackson | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tobie Bloom | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Childress | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 3.5% |
| Max Lawall | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adriana Yarkin | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 2.9% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Timothy Quick | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 2.7% |
| Max Graves | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Lewald | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 14.4% | 16.4% | 11.5% |
| Priyah Koren | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| cecilia rothman-salado | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 11.4% | 18.9% | 38.0% |
| Michael Nodini | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 3.4% |
| Corbin Stanley | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 10.5% | 20.3% | 33.1% |
| Christopher Milan | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.