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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.71+5.33vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.97+7.34vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.82+6.95vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.74+1.99vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.61+5.60vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.75+4.11vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.84-1.36vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.18+0.20vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.88+0.50vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.67+0.61vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.58-0.06vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.85-1.94vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50-2.05vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University2.74-4.23vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-3.40vs Predicted
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16Tufts University2.32-4.07vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93-7.59vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University2.71-7.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.33College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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9.34Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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9.95Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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5.99Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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10.6Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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10.11Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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5.64University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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8.2Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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9.5U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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10.61George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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10.94Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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10.06Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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10.95St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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9.77Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
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11.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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11.93Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
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9.41Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.1%1st Place
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10.09Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clerc Cooper | 9.8% | 12.5% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Andrea Luna | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.0% |
| Sky Adams | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 4.0% |
| Marlena Fauer | 12.2% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.5% |
| Liz Dubovik | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.1% |
| Rachel Bryer | 13.0% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% |
| Marissa Lihan | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% |
| Hannah McNomee | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% |
| Marissa Golison | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 9.2% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% |
| Devon Rohde | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 13.0% |
| Margaret Bacon | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 15.7% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 2.8% |
| Annie Schmidt | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.