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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.84+4.89vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.97+7.36vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+8.96vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+7.02vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.85+4.52vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.71+0.11vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.32+4.84vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.18+0.16vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.88+0.49vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.58+1.04vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.74-4.89vs Predicted
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12George Washington University2.67-1.21vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.75-3.09vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.82-4.61vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93-5.74vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University2.74-5.82vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University2.71-6.57vs Predicted
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18Fordham University2.61-7.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.89University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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9.36Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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11.96U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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11.02St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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9.52Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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6.11College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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11.84Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
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8.16Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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9.49U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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11.04Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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6.11Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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10.79George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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9.91Connecticut College2.750.1%1st Place
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9.39Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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9.26Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.1%1st Place
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10.18Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
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10.43Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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10.55Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bryer | 12.2% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Andrea Luna | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.1% |
| Devon Rohde | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 13.6% |
| Marissa Golison | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 10.4% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% |
| Clerc Cooper | 11.4% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Margaret Bacon | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 12.3% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% |
| Marissa Lihan | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.2% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 4.3% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 9.3% |
| Marlena Fauer | 12.1% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Hannah McNomee | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.5% |
| Liz Dubovik | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% |
| Sky Adams | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.6% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.8% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% |
| Annie Schmidt | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.