← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Dartmouth College3.18+7.52vs Predicted
-
2Yale University3.74+4.11vs Predicted
-
3University of Rhode Island3.84+2.77vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University2.71+6.16vs Predicted
-
5Connecticut College2.75+4.97vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Naval Academy2.88+3.58vs Predicted
-
7Cornell University2.85+2.62vs Predicted
-
8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+3.07vs Predicted
-
9Brown University2.82+0.72vs Predicted
-
10Fordham University2.61+0.97vs Predicted
-
11George Washington University2.67-0.48vs Predicted
-
12Old Dominion University2.97-2.53vs Predicted
-
13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93-3.90vs Predicted
-
14College of Charleston3.71-8.05vs Predicted
-
15Tufts University2.32-3.15vs Predicted
-
16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-4.27vs Predicted
-
17Bowdoin College2.58-6.08vs Predicted
-
18Georgetown University2.74-8.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.52Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
-
6.11Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
-
5.77University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
-
10.16Roger Williams University2.710.1%1st Place
-
9.97Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
-
9.58U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
-
9.62Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
-
11.07St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
-
9.72Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
-
10.97Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
-
10.52George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
-
9.47Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
-
9.1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.1%1st Place
-
5.95College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
-
11.85Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
-
11.73U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
-
10.92Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
-
9.97Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Wheeler | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.1% |
| Marlena Fauer | 10.5% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Rachel Bryer | 10.8% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Annie Schmidt | 5.0% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% |
| Liz Dubovik | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% |
| Marissa Lihan | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.4% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 3.0% |
| Marissa Golison | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.0% |
| Sky Adams | 3.9% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.7% |
| Hannah McNomee | 4.4% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% |
| Andrea Luna | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 6.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% |
| Clerc Cooper | 12.1% | 13.3% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Margaret Bacon | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 13.8% |
| Devon Rohde | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 13.1% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.0% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.