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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Davis0.07+5.96vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego-0.15+5.97vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley0.35+2.93vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles-0.03+3.36vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University-0.39+3.80vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles-1.43+7.34vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego0.41-1.17vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz-1.07+3.87vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles0.11-2.03vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego0.52-4.73vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley-0.40-2.15vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.57+1.76vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-1.46+0.68vs Predicted
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14California State University Monterey Bay-0.72-3.86vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.67-0.65vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis-2.20+0.30vs Predicted
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17San Diego State University-1.27-4.67vs Predicted
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18Arizona State University-2.90+0.57vs Predicted
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19University of California at San Diego-1.72-4.73vs Predicted
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20Arizona State University-1.76-5.43vs Predicted
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21University of California at Davis-3.03-1.96vs Predicted
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22University of California at Berkeley-2.41-5.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.96University of California at Davis0.077.8%1st Place
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7.97University of California at San Diego-0.155.9%1st Place
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5.93University of California at Berkeley0.3511.7%1st Place
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7.36University of California at Los Angeles-0.037.7%1st Place
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8.8Arizona State University-0.396.7%1st Place
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13.34University of California at Los Angeles-1.431.6%1st Place
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5.83University of California at San Diego0.4112.8%1st Place
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11.87University of California at Santa Cruz-1.072.2%1st Place
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6.97University of California at Los Angeles0.119.0%1st Place
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5.27University of California at San Diego0.5213.1%1st Place
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8.85University of California at Berkeley-0.405.5%1st Place
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13.76Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.571.7%1st Place
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13.68University of California at San Diego-1.462.0%1st Place
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10.14California State University Monterey Bay-0.723.5%1st Place
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14.35Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.671.4%1st Place
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16.3University of California at Davis-2.201.1%1st Place
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12.33San Diego State University-1.272.2%1st Place
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18.57Arizona State University-2.900.6%1st Place
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14.27University of California at San Diego-1.721.6%1st Place
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14.57Arizona State University-1.761.0%1st Place
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19.04University of California at Davis-3.030.4%1st Place
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16.82University of California at Berkeley-2.410.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braedon Hansen | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tobie Bloom | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Enzo Cremers | 11.7% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Spector | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 6.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Milan | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 1.4% |
| Vivin Vinil | 12.8% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Priyah Koren | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Linnea Jackson | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Alexander | 13.1% | 13.7% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aivan Durfee | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Quick | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 1.6% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 0.9% |
| Max Graves | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Adriana Yarkin | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 2.5% |
| Alexander Lewald | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 9.3% |
| Tegan Smith | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Corbin Stanley | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 11.4% | 18.9% | 29.5% |
| Michael Nodini | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 2.5% |
| Daniel Childress | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 5.4% | 3.0% |
| cecilia rothman-salado | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 18.8% | 35.5% |
| John Cornet | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 14.0% | 12.8% | 12.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.